La escuela de los momios

Diana Shnaider v Maja Chwalinska

Inicio: 2026-06-04 15:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Diana Shnaider (Local)

Predicción 61.36%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.83%
Ventaja -1.14%
Kelly -3.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.49%61.32%61.31%62.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.551.561.6066.67%64.44%64.10%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Maja Chwalinska (Visitante)

Predicción 38.64%2.59momio equitativo
EV +0.476%
Ventaja +0.183%
Kelly +0.297%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.04%38.68%38.69%40.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.462.482.6042.55%40.65%40.32%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.50%EV -4.29%E -2.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.50%EV +0.476%E +0.183%K +0.297%G +0.001%2.6%2026-06-04 14:59
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 62.08%EV -3.67%E -2.34%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.92%EV -0.684%E -0.266%K -0.435%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-04 14:59
BetOnline.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.29%E -2.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.684%E -0.266%K -0.435%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-04 15:00
LowVig.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -4.29%E -2.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -0.684%E -0.266%K -0.435%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-04 15:00
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.29%E -2.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.46%E -0.571%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-04 14:58
BetAnything1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.29%E -2.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.46%E -0.571%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-04 14:59
Codere (IT)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.90%E -3.16%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -1.46%E -0.571%K -0.940%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-04 15:00
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.97%E -5.31%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -1.46%E -0.571%K -0.940%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 15:00
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -4.29%E -2.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV -3.00%E -1.20%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-04 14:59
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.67%E -2.34%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-04 14:59
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.90%E -3.16%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 15:00
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.90%E -3.16%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 14:58
MyBookie.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.90%E -3.16%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 14:59
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.13%E -4.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-04 15:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.13%E -4.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-04 14:59
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.13%E -4.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-04 14:59
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.13%E -4.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-04 14:59
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.13%E -4.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-04 15:00
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.13%E -4.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-04 15:00
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.74%E -4.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 15:00
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.97%E -5.31%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.39%E -1.36%K -2.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-04 14:59
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.29%E -2.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 15:00
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.29%E -2.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 14:59
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.29%E -2.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 15:00
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.29%E -2.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 15:00
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.29%E -2.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 15:00
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.29%E -2.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.29%E -2.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 15:00
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.29%E -2.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 15:00
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.29%E -2.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 15:00
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.29%E -2.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 15:00
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.39%EV -4.29%E -2.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.61%EV -4.16%E -1.68%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-04 15:00
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.06%E -1.94%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-04 15:00
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.67%E -2.34%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-04 15:00
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.90%E -3.16%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 15:00
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.13%E -4.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-04 15:00
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.35%E -4.87%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.32%E -2.17%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-04 15:00
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.51%E -3.58%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.09%E -2.51%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 15:00
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -5.51%E -3.58%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -6.09%E -2.51%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-04 15:00
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -4.90%E -3.16%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -6.48%E -2.68%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 15:00
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.44%E -1.54%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 15:00
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -3.67%E -2.34%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-04 14:59
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.29%E -2.75%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 15:00
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.51%E -3.58%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-04 15:00
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.13%E -4.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-04 15:00
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.13%E -4.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.25%E -3.02%K -5.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-04 15:00
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.66%EV -4.90%E -3.16%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.34%EV -7.64%E -3.20%K -5.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 15:00
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.13%E -4.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-04 14:59
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.03%EV -6.74%E -4.43%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.97%EV -8.03%E -3.37%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-04 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.90%E -3.16%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -8.41%E -3.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-04 15:00
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -4.90%E -3.16%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -8.41%E -3.55%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-04 15:00
DraftKings1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -1.83%E -1.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -8.80%E -3.73%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-04 15:00
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.83%E -1.14%K -3.05%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-04 15:00
Neds1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.06%E -1.94%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.06%E -1.94%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 15:00
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -3.06%E -1.94%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-04 14:59
NordicBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.67%E -2.34%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.19%E -3.91%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-04 15:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-06-04 15:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.95%2.56I 39.06%NM 39.05%0.0%2026-06-04 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-06-04 15:00
Matchbook1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-06-04 15:00
Novig1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-06-04 15:00
Smarkets1.60I 62.50%NM 61.54%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%1.6%2026-06-04 15:00