La scuola delle quote

Daria Kasatkina v Zeynep Sonmez

Inizio: 2026-05-25 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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61 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Daria Kasatkina (Casa)

Previsione 68.09%1.47quota equa
EV -0.587%
Vantaggio -0.402%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
65.63%68.06%68.21%70.26%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.351.401.401.4674.07%71.33%71.43%68.49%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Zeynep Sonmez (Trasferta)

Previsione 31.91%3.13quota equa
EV +4.02%
Vantaggio +1.23%
Kelly +1.78%
Crescita +0.072%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.26

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.74%31.94%31.79%34.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.942.903.2636.36%34.05%34.48%30.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.38I 72.46%NM 70.26%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.74%EV +4.02%E +1.23%K +1.78%G +0.072%3.1%2026-05-25 08:50
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.08%E -0.349%K -0.516%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 08:39
Codere (IT)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.08%E -0.349%K -0.516%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 08:50
Everygame1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.40%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.08%E -0.349%K -0.516%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 08:40
Tipico (DE)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -8.08%E -5.98%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -1.08%E -0.349%K -0.516%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 08:50
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.68%E -0.878%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-25 00:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -2.68%E -0.878%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 08:50
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.40%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -2.68%E -0.878%K -1.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 08:50
MyBookie.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.00%E -0.986%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:50
BetAnything1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -3.99%E -2.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 08:40
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 08:50
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.35%E -3.85%K -13.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 08:40
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 08:40
Fanatics1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 08:40
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 08:40
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 08:49
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.40%E -5.44%K -20.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 07:10
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.08%E -5.98%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 08:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.08%E -5.98%K -23.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.27%E -1.42%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 08:50
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -4.59%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 08:47
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -4.59%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 08:40
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -6.71%E -4.90%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -4.59%E -1.54%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 08:40
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -3.99%E -2.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -4.91%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 08:20
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.35%E -3.85%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.91%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 08:50
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%EV -5.55%E -1.88%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-22 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.63%E -1.84%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -5.87%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 08:50
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -5.87%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-25 08:50
Betr (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.35%E -3.85%K -13.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.87%E -1.99%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 07:10
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
Unibet (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 08:50
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 08:50
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 15:10
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 08:50
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 11:19
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -6.03%E -4.37%K -15.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -7.46%E -2.57%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 10:46
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.10%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 02:10
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.31%E -2.33%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.06%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 09:40
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -3.99%E -2.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -9.06%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 06:30
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -3.99%E -2.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -9.06%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 06:30
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -3.99%E -2.83%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -9.06%E -3.18%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 06:30
LowVig.ag1.46I 68.49%NM 65.89%EV -0.587%E -0.402%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.11%EV -10.02%E -3.55%K -5.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 08:50
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.66%E -3.81%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 08:49
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.03%EV -2.63%E -1.84%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.97%EV -11.29%E -4.06%K -6.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 08:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.95%E -1.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.25%E -4.45%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 08:50
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.95%E -1.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.25%E -4.45%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 08:50
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.95%E -1.35%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -12.25%E -4.45%K -7.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 08:50
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.67%E -3.34%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.25%E -4.45%K -7.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-25 08:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-25 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.97%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.03%0.7%2026-05-25 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-25 08:50
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-05-25 08:50
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 67.63%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.37%2.0%2026-05-25 08:50
Smarkets1.41I 70.92%NM 69.08%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.92%2.7%2026-05-25 08:50