La escuela de los momios

Anastasia Potapova v Anna Kalinskaya

Inicio: 2026-06-01 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Anastasia Potapova (Local)

Predicción 63.43%1.58momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.677%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.07%63.42%63.40%65.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.521.5669.44%66.15%65.79%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)

Predicción 36.57%2.73momio equitativo
EV +2.41%
Ventaja +0.860%
Kelly +1.34%
Crecimiento +0.032%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.12%36.58%36.60%38.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.582.552.8041.67%38.83%39.22%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +2.41%E +0.860%K +1.34%G +0.032%4.7%2026-06-01 00:10
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV +1.68%E +0.603%K +0.942%G +0.016%4.9%2026-06-01 00:17
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.580%E +0.211%K +0.332%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-01 08:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.580%E +0.211%K +0.332%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-01 00:19
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.70%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +0.580%E +0.211%K +0.332%G +0.002%5.8%2026-06-01 00:10
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.25%E -0.462%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 08:40
BetAnything1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -1.25%E -0.462%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 08:50
Coolbet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -3.08%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-01 08:50
Codere (IT)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.08%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 08:50
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.08%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 08:49
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -3.08%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-01 08:40
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -3.08%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 08:50
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -3.08%E -1.16%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-31 03:46
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 08:50
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -3.81%E -1.45%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 08:50
MyBookie.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.81%E -1.45%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 08:49
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.33%E -1.51%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.17%E -1.59%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-01 08:49
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.98%EV -2.33%E -1.51%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.02%EV -4.17%E -1.59%K -2.58%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-01 08:50
GTbets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.04%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.96%EV -4.54%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 08:40
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -4.54%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-01 08:50
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.97%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.03%EV -4.54%E -1.74%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-01 08:50
Bovada1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.23%E -2.80%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 08:39
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 08:49
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-31 00:20
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.91%E -1.89%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-01 08:49
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -5.64%E -2.19%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 08:50
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.46%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.54%EV -6.00%E -2.34%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-01 08:50
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -1.06%E -0.677%K -1.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-01 08:39
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 08:40
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 08:40
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 08:40
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 08:40
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 08:40
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 08:40
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 08:49
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 08:40
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 08:40
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 08:40
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 08:49
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 08:40
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-01 08:50
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-01 08:50
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-01 08:50
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-01 08:49
Fliff1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -6.73%E -2.64%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-01 08:50
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.33%E -1.51%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 08:40
Bet Right1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -2.33%E -1.51%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 08:50
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 08:40
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 08:40
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 08:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 08:49
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 08:49
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.56%E -3.43%K -5.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-01 08:48
LiveScore Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -9.29%E -3.75%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-01 08:40
Virgin Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -9.29%E -3.75%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-01 08:40
PMU (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.16%EV -4.23%E -2.80%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.84%EV -9.29%E -3.75%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-01 08:40
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.39%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.69%E -1.09%K -3.07%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -10.39%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 08:40
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.39%E -4.24%K -7.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 08:40
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -12.22%E -5.09%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 08:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-06-01 08:50
Matchbook1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-06-01 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-06-01 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-06-01 08:50
Novig1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-06-01 08:50
Smarkets1.52I 65.79%NM 64.32%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.68%2.3%2026-06-01 08:50