默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mirra Andreeva v Diana Shnaider

开赛时间： 2026-11-13 20:10 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

53 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

71%

29%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Mirra Andreeva (主队)

预测 70.78%1.41公平赔率

EV -2.33%

优势 -1.69%

Kelly -6.12%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.38

博彩公司预测分布

68.24%70.77%70.73%74.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.241.341.341.3880.65%74.86%74.63%72.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

Diana Shnaider (客队)

预测 29.22%3.42公平赔率

EV +8.12%

优势 +2.19%

Kelly +3.01%

增长率 +0.244%

假设最高赔率为 3.70

博彩公司预测分布

25.10%29.23%29.27%31.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.753.213.203.7036.36%31.13%31.25%27.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Mirra Andreeva (主队)：70.78%；Diana Shnaider (客队)：29.22%。对于“Diana Shnaider (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.42。当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.70，对应+8.12%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (53 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
SportsBet🎯	1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -12.23%E -9.87%K -50.98%G +0.000%	3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV +8.12%E +2.19%K +3.01%G +0.244%	7.7%	2026-11-13 20:04
FanDuel🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -7.99%E -6.14%K -26.63%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +5.20%E +1.44%K +2.00%G +0.104%	4.7%	2026-11-13 20:05
Paddy Power🎯	1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.70%E -6.74%K -29.99%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +5.20%E +1.44%K +2.00%G +0.104%	5.3%	2026-11-13 20:05
1xBet🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 72.38%EV -6.57%E -4.98%K -20.54%G +0.000%	3.46I 28.90%NM 27.62%EV +1.11%E +0.320%K +0.450%G +0.005%	4.7%	2026-11-13 20:05
DraftKings🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -7.28%E -5.56%K -23.49%G +0.000%	3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -0.062%E -0.018%K -0.026%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-13 20:05
Bovada🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.77%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.646%E -0.190%K -0.269%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-11-13 20:00
BetMGM🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -7.28%E -5.56%K -23.49%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -0.646%E -0.190%K -0.269%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-11-13 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.99%E -6.14%K -26.63%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.646%E -0.190%K -0.269%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-13 20:04
Coral🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.99%E -6.14%K -26.63%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.646%E -0.190%K -0.269%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-13 20:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.99%E -6.14%K -26.63%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.646%E -0.190%K -0.269%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-13 20:05
theScore Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-13 19:55
888sport🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.77%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-13 20:04
William Hill🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.77%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-13 20:05
Betway🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.77%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-13 20:03
888sport (SE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.77%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-13 20:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.77%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-13 20:04
Neds🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.57%E -4.98%K -20.54%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-13 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -6.57%E -4.98%K -20.54%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-13 20:04
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -3.03%E -2.21%K -8.20%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-13 20:00
BoyleSports🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.77%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-13 19:54
Sky Bet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.77%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-11-13 19:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.28%E -5.56%K -23.49%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -5.03%E -1.55%K -2.24%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-11-13 20:04
Marathon Bet🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.59%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.71%G +0.000%	3.24I 30.86%NM 29.41%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.38%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-11-13 20:05
picklebet_au🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-13 19:59
ReBet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-11-13 20:04
NordicBet🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.71%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-13 20:00
Betsson🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.71%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-13 20:00
Bet Right🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.71%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-13 20:00
Fanatics🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.71%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-13 20:00
Betr (AU)🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.16%E -3.85%K -15.17%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-11-13 20:00
Casumo🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.77%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-13 20:04
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.86%E -4.41%K -17.77%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.49%E -2.03%K -2.95%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-13 20:00
LeoVegas🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.45%E -3.30%K -12.71%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.95%E -2.52%K -3.70%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-13 20:00
Unibet🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.03%E -2.21%K -8.20%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-13 20:00
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.03%E -2.21%K -8.20%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-13 20:00
Virgin Bet🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.03%E -2.21%K -8.20%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-13 20:00
BetRivers🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-13 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-13 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-13 20:04
Svenska Spel🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-13 20:04
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-13 20:00
TABtouch🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-13 20:00
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-13 20:00
Grosvenor🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-13 20:00
Bally Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-13 20:05
betPARX🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-13 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.41%E -3.04%K -4.48%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-13 20:04
PlayUp🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.33%E -1.69%K -6.12%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-13 19:59
Caesars🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.74%E -2.75%K -10.39%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.34%E -4.11%K -6.17%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-13 19:50
PMU (FR)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -6.57%E -4.98%K -20.54%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.07%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-11-13 20:00
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -6.57%E -4.98%K -20.54%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -13.80%E -4.68%K -7.07%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-11-13 20:04
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.26I 79.37%NM 69.34%EV -10.82%E -8.59%K -41.61%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 30.66%EV -16.72%E -5.87%K -9.04%G +0.000%	14.5%	2026-11-13 19:59
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 68.24%EV -9.40%E -7.35%K -33.58%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 31.76%EV -19.64%E -7.14%K -11.22%G +0.000%	14.5%	2026-11-13 20:04

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 74.04%	3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96%	0.0%	2026-11-13 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%	3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%	0.4%	2026-11-13 20:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%	3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%	0.4%	2026-11-13 20:00
Matchbook◎	1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%	3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%	0.7%	2026-11-13 20:05
Smarkets◎	1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%	3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%	2.8%	2026-11-13 19:55

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