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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Marta Kostyuk v Jessica Pegula

2026-11-10 20:00 UTC — WTA Finals

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Marta Kostyuk (Local)

Predicción 37.71%2.65momio equitativo
EV +1.07%
Ventaja +0.398%
Kelly +0.634%
Crecimiento +0.007%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.73%37.81%37.80%40.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.492.502.6844.44%40.24%40.00%37.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jessica Pegula (Visitante)

Predicción 62.29%1.61momio equitativo
EV +0.908%
Ventaja +0.561%
Kelly +1.46%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.50%62.19%62.20%64.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.531.531.6270.42%65.31%65.36%61.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Marta Kostyuk (Local): 37.71%; Jessica Pegula (Visitante): 62.29%. Para Marta Kostyuk (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.65. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.68, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.07%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -10.25%E -4.31%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV +0.908%E +0.561%K +1.46%G +0.013%3.7%2026-11-10 15:26
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.61%E -3.11%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -2.83%E -1.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-10 16:55
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.83%E -1.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 16:55
Bally Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.83%E -1.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 16:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.83%E -1.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 16:55
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.83%E -1.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 16:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.83%E -1.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.83%E -1.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 16:55
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.83%E -1.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.83%E -1.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 16:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.83%E -1.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.83%E -1.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 16:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.83%E -1.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 16:55
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.83%E -1.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 16:55
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -8.36%E -3.44%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -2.83%E -1.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-10 16:55
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -1.95%E -0.751%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.45%E -2.23%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-10 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -3.84%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -3.45%E -2.23%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-11-10 15:20
BetOnline.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.57%E -0.603%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.07%E -2.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-10 18:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV -1.57%E -0.603%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -4.07%E -2.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-10 18:50
BetAnything🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.84%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.07%E -2.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-10 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.84%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.07%E -2.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-10 15:14
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.84%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.07%E -2.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-11-10 16:40
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.84%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-10 19:40
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.84%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-10 16:50
GTbets🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -4.59%E -1.81%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-10 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.97%E -1.97%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-10 16:50
ReBet🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -5.35%E -2.13%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-11-10 19:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-10 14:44
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-10 14:45
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-10 15:00
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-10 15:25
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-10 15:25
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-10 15:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-10 15:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-10 15:25
Betsson🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-10 16:10
NordicBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-10 16:10
Fanatics🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-10 16:40
picklebet_au🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-10 19:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-10 17:10
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.61%E -3.11%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-10 15:50
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.49%E -3.96%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-10 15:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.49%E -3.96%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-10 15:25
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.49%E -3.96%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-10 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.49%E -3.96%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-10 16:50
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.49%E -3.96%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.70%E -3.07%K -8.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-10 16:55
DraftKings🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -3.46%E -1.35%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -5.32%E -3.50%K -10.23%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-10 19:55
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.84%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.32%E -3.50%K -10.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-10 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.94%E -3.94%K -11.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-10 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 36.50%EV -1.57%E -0.603%K -0.978%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.50%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-10 19:20
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.95%E -0.751%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-10 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.84%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-10 16:10
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.84%E -1.50%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-10 19:55
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-10 18:45
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.49%E -3.96%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-10 14:58
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.49%E -3.96%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-10 14:58
PMU (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.27%EV -12.51%E -5.39%K -9.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.73%EV -6.57%E -4.38%K -13.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-10 16:55
1xBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV +1.07%E +0.398%K +0.634%G +0.007%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -7.19%E -4.83%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-11-10 19:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -5.72%E -2.29%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -10.30%E -7.16%K -23.42%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-10 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -15.15%E -6.73%K -12.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 61.31%EV -11.55%E -8.13%K -27.50%G +0.000%14.9%2026-11-10 19:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-11-10 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-11-10 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.63%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.37%0.2%2026-11-10 19:55
Novig◎2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%1.0%2026-11-10 19:50
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%2.7%2026-11-10 19:55
Matchbook◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.19%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.81%3.1%2026-11-10 19:50
Arbitraje (2 combinaciones) +0.97%1xBet 2.68 (37.7%) / BoyleSports 1.62 (62.3%)Ver las 2 combinaciones
Marta Kostyuk (Local)Jessica Pegula (Visitante)Margen
1xBet🎯 2.68 (37.7%)BoyleSports🎯 1.62 (62.3%)+0.967%

Comente este partido en odds.forum

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