L’École des cotesodds.tennis
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Aryna Sabalenka v Elina Svitolina

2026-11-13 21:30 UTC — WTA Finals

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Prévision 62.55%1.60cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -1.96%
Kelly -5.53%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.54%62.66%62.65%65.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.411.511.521.5570.92%66.26%65.79%64.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Elina Svitolina (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.45%2.67cote équitable
EV +2.98%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.70%
Croissance +0.051%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.52%37.34%37.35%38.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.512.502.7543.48%39.89%40.00%36.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Aryna Sabalenka (Local) : 62.55% ; Elina Svitolina (Visiteur) : 37.45%. Pour Elina Svitolina (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.67. 1 opérateur propose une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.75, pour une espérance positive de +2.98%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -9.30%E -6.41%K -20.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +2.98%E +1.08%K +1.70%G +0.051%5.3%2026-11-12 10:00
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.04%E -1.96%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.64%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-12 07:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.67%E -2.38%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.64%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.4%2026-11-12 10:20
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.92%E -3.24%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.64%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-12 07:49
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -5.54%E -3.67%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -2.64%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-12 12:35
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -9.30%E -6.41%K -20.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -2.64%E -1.02%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-12 07:50
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -5.54%E -3.67%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -3.39%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-12 07:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -3.39%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 10:09
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.92%E -3.24%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-12 08:50
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.92%E -3.24%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-12 07:50
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.92%E -3.24%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-12 07:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.92%E -3.24%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-12 10:00
GTbets🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.92%E -3.24%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-12 07:49
Fanatics🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.54%E -3.67%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 10:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-12 09:00
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -4.89%E -1.92%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-12 07:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.92%E -3.24%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.26%E -2.08%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-12 07:50
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 07:35
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 07:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 07:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 07:35
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 07:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 07:25
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 09:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 09:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 09:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 09:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 09:14
TABtouch🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 09:14
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 09:15
Unibet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 09:14
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 09:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 09:15
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 09:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 09:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 09:25
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.29%E -2.81%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-12 10:54
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.92%E -3.24%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-12 11:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.54%E -3.67%K -10.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-12 08:50
picklebet_au🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-12 07:50
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-12 07:48
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-12 08:14
Neds🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-12 07:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-12 07:45
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-12 11:04
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-12 12:34
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.42%E -5.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-12 07:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.42%E -5.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.39%E -2.55%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-12 07:44
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.05%E -5.47%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -8.26%E -3.37%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-12 07:49
betano_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-12 07:35
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.17%E -4.11%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-12 07:34
Casumo🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.42%E -5.01%K -15.46%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-12 10:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.30%E -6.41%K -20.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.13%E -4.22%K -7.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-12 09:14
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 61.82%EV -8.05%E -5.47%K -17.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.18%EV -10.88%E -4.57%K -7.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-11-12 07:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 61.68%EV -8.67%E -5.94%K -18.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%EV -12.00%E -5.11%K -8.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-12 10:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 61.99%EV -11.80%E -8.37%K -28.78%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.01%EV -13.87%E -6.03%K -10.67%G +0.000%14.4%2026-11-12 07:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-11-12 10:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-11-12 10:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-11-12 10:45
Smarkets◎1.55I 64.52%NM 62.47%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.53%3.3%2026-11-12 13:15
Novig◎1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%4.0%2026-11-12 11:40
Matchbook◎1.45I 68.97%NM 63.10%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.90%9.3%2026-11-12 09:50

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