Idioma:Español
Taylor Townsend v Elena Rybakina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Taylor Townsend (Local)
Predicción 26.06%3.84momio equitativo
EV +0.329%
Ventaja +0.085%
Kelly +0.115%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.75%26.08%26.10%28.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.603.603.8530.30%27.75%27.78%25.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elena Rybakina (Visitante)
Predicción 73.94%1.35momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -1.82%
Kelly -7.49%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.74%73.92%73.90%75.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.291.291.3280.00%77.62%77.52%75.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Taylor Townsend (Local): 26.06%; Elena Rybakina (Visitante): 73.94%. Para Taylor Townsend (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.84. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.85, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.329%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV +0.329%E +0.085%K +0.115%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -0.974%E -0.256%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-16 14:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -0.974%E -0.256%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-16 14:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.974%E -0.256%K -0.348%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.57%E -6.06%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.28%E -0.607%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 13:42 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.28%E -0.607%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 14:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.28%E -0.607%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 14:18 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.28%E -0.607%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.28%E -0.607%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.57%E -6.06%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.28%E -0.607%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.57%E -6.06%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.28%E -0.607%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.57%E -6.06%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.28%E -0.607%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.57%E -6.06%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 14:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -2.54%E -0.679%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -5.36%E -4.18%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -2.54%E -0.679%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.24%EV -3.32%E -0.895%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.76%EV -2.40%E -1.82%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.71I 26.95%NM 26.10%EV -3.32%E -0.895%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.90%EV -3.14%E -2.40%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-14 09:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -3.58%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -5.36%E -4.18%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-16 08:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.58%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -4.10%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.06%EV -4.62%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.94%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 03:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.88%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 13:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.88%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.88%E -1.34%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.36%E -4.18%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 13:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.14%E -2.40%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 08:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-16 08:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 13:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 13:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 13:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.36%E -4.18%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 13:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.36%E -4.18%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 14:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.10%E -4.80%K -22.58%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -6.83%E -5.42%K -26.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.19%E -1.72%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.57%E -6.06%K -30.30%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 10:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 08:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 08:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 08:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 08:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 08:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 08:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 08:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 08:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 08:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 08:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 08:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 08:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 08:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.49%E -2.11%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-14 09:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-16 14:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.36%E -4.18%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.79%E -2.51%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.36%E -4.18%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -10.10%E -2.93%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -5.36%E -4.18%K -19.13%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-13 19:55 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 14:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.40%E -3.35%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.62%E -3.58%K -15.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 14:57 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.70%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.70%E -3.79%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 13:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -14.00%E -4.24%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.88%E -2.98%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 14:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79% | 0.7% | 2026-08-16 14:50 |
| Novig◎ | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.16% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.84% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 14:55 |