Idioma:Español
Sorana Cirstea v Anna Kalinskaya
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sorana Cirstea (Local)
Predicción 51.54%1.94momio equitativo
EV -0.524%
Ventaja -0.272%
Kelly -0.564%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.59%51.55%53.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.721.841.851.9358.14%54.26%54.05%51.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)
Predicción 48.46%2.06momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -2.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.24%48.41%48.45%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.941.932.0254.05%51.63%51.81%49.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sorana Cirstea (Local): 51.54%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante): 48.46%. Para Sorana Cirstea (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.94. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.93, con un valor esperado de -0.524%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -0.524%E -0.272%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -4.05%E -2.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-17 17:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.56%E -0.814%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 11:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.56%E -0.814%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -2.59%E -1.37%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 13:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -2.59%E -1.37%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 13:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.10%E -1.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.08%E -1.54%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-17 17:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.30%EV -3.10%E -1.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.70%EV -4.05%E -2.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-17 07:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.10%E -1.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.48%E -3.36%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 23:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.10%E -1.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.96%E -3.63%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.10%E -1.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 13:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.10%E -1.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 13:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.10%E -1.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 13:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.10%E -1.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 13:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.10%E -1.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 13:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.10%E -1.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 13:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.10%E -1.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 13:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.10%E -1.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 13:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.10%E -1.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 13:18 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.10%E -1.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 13:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.10%E -1.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 13:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -3.10%E -1.65%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-17 13:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.62%E -1.93%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.51%E -2.82%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 16:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.62%E -1.93%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.51%E -2.82%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 11:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.62%E -1.93%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.51%E -2.82%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.62%E -1.93%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.51%E -2.82%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.62%E -1.93%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.51%E -2.82%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 17:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -3.62%E -1.93%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.38%E -5.02%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 17:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.13%E -2.22%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.02%E -2.56%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-17 07:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.65%E -2.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.05%E -2.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 17:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.65%E -2.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.51%E -2.82%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.65%E -2.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.51%E -2.82%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 14:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.65%E -2.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.51%E -2.82%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.65%E -2.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.51%E -2.82%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 12:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.65%E -2.51%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.35%E -5.60%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-17 13:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.16%E -2.81%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.02%E -2.56%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-17 17:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.16%E -2.81%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -6.48%E -3.36%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 17:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.68%E -3.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.08%E -1.54%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 17:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.68%E -3.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.08%E -1.54%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-17 05:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.68%E -3.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -3.57%E -1.79%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-17 11:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.68%E -3.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.51%E -2.82%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 11:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.68%E -3.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 13:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.68%E -3.10%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-17 13:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.19%E -3.40%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -2.11%E -1.05%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-17 17:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.19%E -3.40%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.51%E -2.82%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-17 17:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.19%E -3.40%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.99%E -3.09%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.19%E -3.40%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.99%E -3.09%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.22%E -4.01%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.08%E -1.54%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-17 17:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.22%E -4.01%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.05%E -2.05%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-17 17:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.22%E -4.01%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.51%E -2.82%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.22%E -4.01%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.51%E -2.82%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 13:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.22%E -4.01%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.51%E -2.82%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.22%E -4.01%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.51%E -2.82%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.22%E -4.01%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.22%E -4.01%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.22%E -4.01%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.22%E -4.01%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.22%E -4.01%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 11:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.22%E -4.01%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-17 11:33 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.22%E -4.01%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-17 11:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.22%E -4.01%K -9.03%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -7.74%E -4.32%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -3.08%E -1.54%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-17 17:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.91%EV -9.29%E -5.28%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.09%EV -7.93%E -4.17%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-17 17:43 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -10.32%E -5.93%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -7.44%E -3.90%K -8.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-17 17:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -11.35%E -6.60%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -3.08%E -1.54%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-17 00:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.88% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 49.12% | 0.3% | 2026-08-17 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-08-17 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-08-17 17:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-08-17 17:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-08-17 17:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.1% | 2026-08-17 17:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 2.4% | 2026-08-17 17:45 |