Idioma:Español
Sofia Kenin v Eva Lys
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sofia Kenin (Local)
Predicción 43.51%2.30momio equitativo
EV -2.11%
Ventaja -0.938%
Kelly -1.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.11%43.55%43.45%45.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.182.202.2548.78%45.97%45.45%44.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Eva Lys (Visitante)
Predicción 56.49%1.77momio equitativo
EV -1.70%
Ventaja -0.978%
Kelly -2.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.74
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.38%56.45%56.55%57.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.681.671.7462.50%59.64%59.88%57.47%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Sofia Kenin (Local): 43.51%; Eva Lys (Visitante): 56.49%. Para Eva Lys (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.77. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.74, con un valor esperado de -1.70%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.11%E -0.938%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 12:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.98%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-15 00:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.98%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.22%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.98%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.22%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 12:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.98%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.22%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 12:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.98%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.22%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 12:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.98%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.22%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.98%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.22%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.98%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.22%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.98%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.22%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 12:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.98%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.22%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 12:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.98%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.22%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 12:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.98%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.22%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.98%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.22%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 12:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.98%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.22%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 12:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.98%E -1.34%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.22%E -3.75%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-14 12:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.41%E -1.54%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 00:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.41%E -1.54%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 00:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -3.85%E -1.74%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -1.70%E -0.978%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-14 21:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -3.85%E -1.74%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.79%E -4.11%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-15 00:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-14 11:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-15 00:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 23:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 22:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 05:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 19:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 06:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 00:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 23:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 00:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 15:53 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 09:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -4.29%E -1.95%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -9.61%E -6.01%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 23:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.72%E -2.16%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-14 05:24 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.16%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.16%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.09%E -3.03%K -7.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 00:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.16%E -2.36%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 00:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -5.59%E -2.58%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.11%EV -7.92%E -4.86%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 12:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.40%E -1.99%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 00:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-14 13:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 00:43 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 00:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-15 00:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 15:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.46%E -3.00%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -9.61%E -6.01%K -16.02%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 00:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.27%E -1.31%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 00:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 00:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 16:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 16:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.96%E -2.33%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 19:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -4.53%E -2.68%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 16:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 00:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 00:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-15 00:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 15:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 19:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.66%E -3.39%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 19:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.64%E -4.11%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.05%E -5.62%K -14.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-15 00:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.81%E -5.27%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 16:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -10.81%E -5.27%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -2.83%E -1.65%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 16:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.30% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.70% | 0.2% | 2026-08-15 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 00:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 00:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 00:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89% | 2.2% | 2026-08-15 00:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 00:40 |