Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sloane Stephens v Sinja Kraus

Início: 2026-08-14 23:03 UTC

Final: Sloane Stephens 2–0 Sinja Kraus

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sloane Stephens (Local)

Previsão 44.88%2.23odd justa
EV -1.27%
Vantagem -0.576%
Kelly -1.06%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.41%44.82%44.91%47.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.982.102.102.2050.51%47.62%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Sinja Kraus (Visitante)

Previsão 55.12%1.81odd justa
EV -0.782%
Vantagem -0.434%
Kelly -0.977%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.38%55.18%55.09%56.59%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.721.731.8059.88%57.98%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sloane Stephens (Local): 44.88%; Sinja Kraus (Visitante): 55.12%. Para Sinja Kraus (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.81. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.80, com valor esperado de -0.782%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.27%E -0.576%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.27%E -0.576%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 21:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -1.27%E -0.576%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 21:40
DraftKings🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -1.72%E -0.783%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -7.40%E -4.40%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:55
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -2.16%E -0.993%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 18:35
1xBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.92%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.08%EV -2.44%E -1.38%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -2.61%E -1.20%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 22:49
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -3.06%E -1.42%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 20:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 22:45
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 18:24
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.51%E -1.63%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.95%E -4.76%K -11.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 18:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -4.41%E -2.07%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.36%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 18:34
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 18:35
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.86%E -2.29%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 18:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.31%E -2.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 18:24
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.91%EV -5.31%E -2.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.09%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 18:50
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:24
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 22:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 09:25
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 22:50
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 10:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 18:55
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 20:55
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 18:24
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 12:30
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 18:30
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 18:35
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -6.84%E -4.05%K -9.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 18:30
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.95%E -4.76%K -11.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 22:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.95%E -4.76%K -11.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.95%E -4.76%K -11.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 22:59
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.95%E -4.76%K -11.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 23:00
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.95%E -4.76%K -11.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 17:54
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.75%E -2.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.95%E -4.76%K -11.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 20:55
BetUS🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.14%EV -6.20%E -2.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.86%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 21:40
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:45
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:44
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:45
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:45
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:45
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:45
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:44
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.65%E -3.20%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.54%E -2.02%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 18:50
GTbets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -7.10%E -3.43%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -2.99%E -1.70%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 06:04
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.09%E -2.35%K -5.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 18:43
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.64%E -2.68%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-14 12:15
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 12:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.19%E -3.02%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 12:14
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 17:58
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 17:58
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.00%E -3.90%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.29%E -3.70%K -8.99%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -8.45%E -4.14%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -5.74%E -3.36%K -8.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 18:44
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.24%E -5.12%K -10.24%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.782%E -0.434%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 22:53
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -11.14%E -5.63%K -11.37%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -0.782%E -0.434%K -0.977%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 22:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.29I 43.67%NM 43.60%1.77I 56.50%NM 56.40%0.2%2026-08-14 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-08-14 22:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-08-14 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%0.7%2026-08-14 22:35
Matchbook◎2.26I 44.25%NM 43.64%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.36%1.4%2026-08-14 23:00
Novig◎2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%1.9%2026-08-14 23:00