Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Simona Waltert v Petra Marcinko

Inizio: 2026-08-13 15:05 UTC

Finale: Simona Waltert 2–1 Petra Marcinko

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

42 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Simona Waltert (Casa)

Previsione 47.24%2.12quota equa
EV -0.805%
Vantaggio -0.384%
Kelly -0.732%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.48%47.12%47.28%48.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.912.012.022.1052.36%49.63%49.38%47.62%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Petra Marcinko (Trasferta)

Previsione 52.76%1.90quota equa
EV -2.39%
Vantaggio -1.29%
Kelly -2.81%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.48%52.88%52.72%54.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.711.791.791.8558.48%55.99%56.02%54.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Simona Waltert (Casa): 47.24%; Petra Marcinko (Trasferta): 52.76%. Per Simona Waltert (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.12. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.10, con un valore atteso del -0.805%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (42 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
GTbets🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.805%E -0.384%K -0.732%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-13 11:40
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.44%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%EV -2.39%E -1.29%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-13 11:40
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.91%E -1.58%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-13 13:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.61%E -3.73%K -8.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 14:59
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -3.17%E -1.54%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -9.77%E -5.72%K -13.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-12 14:49
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 15:00
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 15:00
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 15:00
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 15:00
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 15:00
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 15:00
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -3.64%E -1.78%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.08%E -3.42%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-13 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.50%E -2.48%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 11:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.14%EV -4.11%E -2.03%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.86%EV -4.50%E -2.48%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 11:29
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.97%E -2.18%K -4.84%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-13 14:54
DraftKings🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -4.50%E -2.48%K -5.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-13 14:55
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 11:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.58%E -2.27%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.55%E -3.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 12:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 11:00
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-12 18:29
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 12:45
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-13 12:35
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.19%E -4.71%K -11.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-13 15:00
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 15:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 14:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.53%E -2.76%K -5.53%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.72%E -5.04%K -11.94%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -6.00%E -3.02%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -5.55%E -3.10%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 14:44
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 11:00
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.47%E -3.27%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 15:00
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.42%E -3.78%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 11:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.42%E -3.78%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 11:00
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 11:00
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.89%E -4.05%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-13 11:05
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.78%E -5.12%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.02%E -2.79%K -6.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-13 12:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (1)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%1.5%2026-08-13 14:59