Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shuai Zhang v Kayla Day

Início: 2026-08-15 15:09 UTC

Final: Shuai Zhang 2–1 Kayla Day

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Shuai Zhang (Local)

Previsão 47.28%2.12odd justa
EV -1.66%
Vantagem -0.798%
Kelly -1.54%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.08

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.62%47.37%47.37%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.902.012.002.0852.63%49.88%50.00%48.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kayla Day (Visitante)

Previsão 52.72%1.90odd justa
EV +0.698%
Vantagem +0.366%
Kelly +0.767%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.91

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.00%52.63%52.63%54.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.791.801.9158.14%55.87%55.56%52.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Shuai Zhang (Local): 47.28%; Kayla Day (Visitante): 52.72%. Para Kayla Day (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.90. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 1.91, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.698%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.70%E -5.08%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.698%E +0.366%K +0.767%G +0.005%4.7%2026-08-14 19:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.39%E -3.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 14:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.39%E -3.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.47%E -1.33%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 14:14
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.99%E -1.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 06:54
GTbets🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -6.86%E -3.48%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -2.99%E -1.63%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 08:40
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.66%E -0.798%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.05%E -2.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 14:55
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -1.66%E -0.798%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -4.05%E -2.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-15 14:30
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.50%E -2.23%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -4.05%E -2.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-15 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.05%E -2.22%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 06:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -4.97%E -2.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.57%E -2.53%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 11:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -4.57%E -2.53%K -5.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 11:39
BetUS🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -8.75%E -4.53%K -9.41%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -4.57%E -2.53%K -5.65%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 13:39
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.08%E -1.50%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 13:38
BetAnything🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.08%E -1.50%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 14:19
Marathon Bet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -4.97%E -2.47%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 13:59
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 14:50
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:34
ReBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 12:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:34
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 11:35
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 12:00
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 11:39
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 02:25
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 12:44
NordicBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 15:04
Betsson🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 14:59
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 12:44
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.39%E -3.23%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.33%E -3.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 14:00
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.33%E -3.74%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.81%E -4.00%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:59
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.81%E -4.00%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 13:59
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.81%E -4.00%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 14:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.17%E -5.35%K -11.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.10%E -2.83%K -6.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 11:39
FanDuel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -3.55%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -5.63%E -3.14%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 12:50
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.16%E -3.46%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 14:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.08%E -1.50%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.68%E -3.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 08:50
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.08%E -1.50%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.68%E -3.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 15:05
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.55%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.68%E -3.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:20
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.55%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.68%E -3.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.55%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.68%E -3.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:20
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.55%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.68%E -3.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.55%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.68%E -3.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.55%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.68%E -3.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:19
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.55%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.68%E -3.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:19
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.55%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.68%E -3.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.55%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.68%E -3.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.55%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.68%E -3.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.55%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.68%E -3.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:19
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.55%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.68%E -3.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.55%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.68%E -3.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:20
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.55%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.68%E -3.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.46%EV -3.55%E -1.74%K -3.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.54%EV -6.68%E -3.78%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 09:19
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -4.02%E -1.98%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -7.21%E -4.10%K -9.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 12:49
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.08%E -1.50%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.74%E -4.42%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 15:05
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.81%E -4.00%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.74%E -4.42%K -10.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 11:39
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.81%E -4.00%K -8.22%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.74%E -4.42%K -10.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 11:38
Betclic (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.68%EV -9.23%E -4.80%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.32%EV -7.74%E -4.42%K -10.32%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-15 15:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.26%E -4.75%K -11.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 08:49
Fliff🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -9.70%E -5.08%K -10.66%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.26%E -4.75%K -11.17%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-15 15:04
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.79%E -5.08%K -12.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-15 12:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -3.08%E -1.50%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -9.32%E -5.42%K -12.94%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 14:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-08-15 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-08-15 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-08-15 15:05
ProphetX◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.35%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.65%1.3%2026-08-15 15:05
Matchbook◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.6%2026-08-15 15:05
Novig◎2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%2.9%2026-08-15 15:05