Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Maya Joint v Tamara Korpatsch

Início: 2026-08-14 16:30 UTC

Final: Maya Joint 1–2 Tamara Korpatsch

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Maya Joint (Local)

Previsão 67.24%1.49odd justa
EV -2.50%
Vantagem -1.72%
Kelly -5.55%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.06%67.20%67.42%68.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.351.411.421.4574.07%70.71%70.42%68.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tamara Korpatsch (Visitante)

Previsão 32.76%3.05odd justa
EV -1.73%
Vantagem -0.577%
Kelly -0.866%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.40%32.80%32.58%34.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.872.853.0037.04%34.79%35.09%33.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Maya Joint (Local): 67.24%; Tamara Korpatsch (Visitante): 32.76%. Para Tamara Korpatsch (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.05. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.00, com valor esperado de -1.73%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.19%EV -2.50%E -1.72%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.81%EV -2.71%E -0.914%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 15:59
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.50%E -1.72%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.56%E -4.28%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 15:54
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.17%E -2.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -1.73%E -0.577%K -0.866%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 15:59
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.42%EV -3.17%E -2.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.58%EV -2.39%E -0.801%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 16:05
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.17%E -2.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.92%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.17%E -2.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.92%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 14:04
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.17%E -2.20%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.92%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 15:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -3.84%E -2.69%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -3.37%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 16:20
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -3.84%E -2.69%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -4.02%E -1.37%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 16:05
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -3.84%E -2.69%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -5.66%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 15:50
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -3.84%E -2.69%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.97%E -2.46%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 15:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.65%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.35%EV -2.71%E -0.914%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 16:24
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.37%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 15:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -3.37%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 16:20
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 15:54
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 15:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 15:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 15:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 15:55
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 15:55
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 15:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 15:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 15:55
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 15:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 16:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 15:55
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 15:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 15:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 15:55
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 15:54
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 15:54
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 13:59
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.51%E -3.18%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.56%E -4.28%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 15:53
BetAnything🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.19%E -3.68%K -12.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.73%E -0.577%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 15:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -5.19%E -3.68%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -5.33%E -1.85%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 15:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.19%E -3.68%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.64%E -2.33%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 15:59
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -5.19%E -3.68%K -12.65%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -8.94%E -3.21%K -5.02%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 15:44
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.73%E -0.577%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 15:54
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.73%E -0.577%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 15:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.73%E -0.577%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 15:54
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.73%E -0.577%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 15:54
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -2.06%E -0.689%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 14:30
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.37%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.37%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 15:54
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 15:55
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 11:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 12:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 11:59
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.01%E -1.73%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 12:00
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.66%E -1.97%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 14:54
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.99%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -5.99%E -2.09%K -3.20%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 13:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 15:55
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.28%E -2.96%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 14:54
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.92%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 16:04
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.92%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 15:53
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.86%E -4.18%K -14.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.92%E -3.61%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 15:54
LeoVegas🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -7.20%E -5.22%K -18.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -3.37%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 16:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.22%E -6.83%K -26.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.37%E -1.14%K -1.73%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 15:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%0.2%2026-08-14 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%0.2%2026-08-14 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%0.2%2026-08-14 16:15
Novig◎1.48I 67.57%NM 66.89%2.99I 33.44%NM 33.11%1.0%2026-08-14 16:10
ProphetX◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-08-14 16:15
Matchbook◎1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%2.7%2026-08-14 16:15