Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Linda Noskova v Clara Tauson

Início: 2026-08-17 22:46 UTC

Final: Linda Noskova 2–0 Clara Tauson

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Linda Noskova (Local)

Previsão 69.57%1.44odd justa
EV -3.99%
Vantagem -2.89%
Kelly -10.50%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.24%69.72%69.64%71.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.301.351.361.3876.92%73.99%73.53%72.46%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Clara Tauson (Visitante)

Previsão 30.43%3.29odd justa
EV +3.76%
Vantagem +1.10%
Kelly +1.56%
Crescimento +0.059%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.41

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.42%30.28%30.36%31.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.853.103.053.4135.09%32.24%32.79%29.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Linda Noskova (Local): 69.57%; Clara Tauson (Visitante): 30.43%. Para Clara Tauson (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.29. 7 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.41, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.76%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 71.34%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.66%EV +3.76%E +1.10%K +1.56%G +0.059%2.3%2026-08-17 21:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +2.54%E +0.754%K +1.07%G +0.027%4.3%2026-08-17 21:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +2.54%E +0.754%K +1.07%G +0.027%4.3%2026-08-17 21:34
FanDuel🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +1.93%E +0.577%K +0.823%G +0.016%3.9%2026-08-17 22:45
BetAnything🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV +1.93%E +0.577%K +0.823%G +0.016%3.9%2026-08-17 21:09
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -7.47%E -5.62%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +0.412%E +0.125%K +0.179%G +0.001%5.5%2026-08-17 22:44
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -8.86%E -6.76%K -28.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +0.412%E +0.125%K +0.179%G +0.001%6.6%2026-08-17 22:44
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.47%E -5.62%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.11%E -0.341%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 20:24
Sky Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.47%E -5.62%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.11%E -0.341%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 21:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -7.47%E -5.62%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -1.11%E -0.341%K -0.493%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 21:15
BetUS🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.37%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.63%EV -1.72%E -0.532%K -0.770%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-17 22:40
DraftKings🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.61%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.39%EV -2.02%E -0.628%K -0.911%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 22:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -2.63%E -0.822%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-17 22:14
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.63%E -0.822%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 22:44
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -2.63%E -0.822%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 20:40
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.63%E -0.822%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 21:35
Betway🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -2.63%E -0.822%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 21:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -2.63%E -0.822%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 21:49
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -2.94%E -0.920%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 22:42
Unibet (UK)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.15%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 22:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -4.15%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 22:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -5.07%E -1.62%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-17 21:50
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 19:09
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 21:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 22:44
BetMGM🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -6.77%E -5.05%K -19.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 22:43
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.47%E -5.62%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 16:24
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -7.47%E -5.62%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.67%E -1.83%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 16:24
Coolbet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.99%EV -3.99%E -2.89%K -10.50%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.01%EV -6.59%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 22:45
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 22:44
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 22:44
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -4.69%E -3.42%K -12.67%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 22:44
LeoVegas🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 22:44
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 22:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 22:44
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 22:44
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 22:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 22:44
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 22:44
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 22:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 22:44
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -8.86%E -6.76%K -28.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV -7.19%E -2.36%K -3.51%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-17 22:45
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 22:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 22:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 22:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 22:44
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 22:44
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 22:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 16:24
Neds🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 16:24
Caesars🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 16:39
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 22:45
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.38%E -3.96%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-17 22:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-17 22:44
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.47%E -5.62%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-17 22:40
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.47%E -5.62%K -22.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -8.72%E -2.91%K -4.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-17 22:41
Virgin Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -10.24%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 22:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -10.24%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 22:44
Bally Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -10.24%E -3.47%K -5.25%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 22:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.08%E -4.50%K -17.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -11.76%E -4.05%K -6.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-17 22:43
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -7.47%E -5.62%K -22.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -11.76%E -4.05%K -6.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-17 22:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.67%EV -9.56%E -7.35%K -31.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.33%EV -13.28%E -4.66%K -7.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-17 22:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-08-17 22:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-08-17 22:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-08-17 22:45
Matchbook◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.57%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.43%0.5%2026-08-17 22:45
ProphetX◎1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%0.9%2026-08-17 22:45
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 71.58%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-08-17 22:45
Novig◎1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%3.0%2026-08-17 22:20