Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leylah Fernandez v Xiyu Wang

Início: 2026-08-16 12:00 UTC

Final: Leylah Fernandez 1–2 Xiyu Wang

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Leylah Fernandez (Local)

Previsão 56.74%1.76odd justa
EV -0.707%
Vantagem -0.404%
Kelly -0.943%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.67%56.61%56.76%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.641.681.671.7560.98%59.60%59.88%57.14%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Xiyu Wang (Visitante)

Previsão 43.26%2.31odd justa
EV -2.23%
Vantagem -0.987%
Kelly -1.77%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.26

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%43.39%43.24%45.33%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.052.182.202.2648.78%45.79%45.45%44.25%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Leylah Fernandez (Local): 56.74%; Xiyu Wang (Visitante): 43.26%. Para Leylah Fernandez (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.76. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.75, com valor esperado de -0.707%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
GTbets🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.58%EV -0.707%E -0.404%K -0.943%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.42%EV -5.26%E -2.40%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-16 10:55
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.95%EV -1.27%E -0.733%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.05%EV -4.39%E -1.99%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-16 06:19
DraftKings🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -2.41%E -1.40%K -3.35%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -7.42%E -3.47%K -6.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 07:09
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.98%E -1.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -2.23%E -0.987%K -1.77%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-16 11:44
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.98%E -1.74%K -4.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.66%E -1.18%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 11:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.54%E -2.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.96%E -1.78%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 10:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.54%E -2.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.96%E -1.78%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 10:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.54%E -2.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.96%E -1.78%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-16 10:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.54%E -2.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 08:20
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.61%EV -3.54%E -2.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.39%EV -7.85%E -3.69%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 11:14
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -3.54%E -2.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -8.29%E -3.91%K -7.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 10:59
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.54%E -2.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-16 11:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -3.54%E -2.08%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -11.31%E -5.52%K -10.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 06:04
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.11%E -2.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 10:54
BetAnything🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.11%E -2.43%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 10:59
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -4.68%E -2.79%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.96%E -1.78%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 10:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.68%E -2.79%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 08:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.68%E -2.79%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 10:55
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.68%E -2.79%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.26%E -2.40%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 10:55
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.68%E -2.79%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.26%E -2.40%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 10:54
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.68%E -2.79%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 11:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.68%E -2.79%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 11:14
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:19
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:19
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:04
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 10:59
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:19
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:19
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:20
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 10:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 10:59
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:19
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:18
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:19
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 13:49
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 10:54
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 10:55
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 10:59
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 18:40
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.69%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 10:54
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -5.69%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 11:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.12%E -2.82%K -5.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 11:35
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 06:09
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.25%E -3.14%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.15%E -4.36%K -8.32%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 06:09
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.38%E -3.87%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.83%E -2.19%K -4.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-16 05:49
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.38%E -3.87%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.69%E -2.61%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 10:54
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.38%E -3.87%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 11:35
ReBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.38%E -3.87%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 10:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.38%E -3.87%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 11:15
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.38%E -3.87%K -9.82%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 11:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -6.95%E -4.24%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -6.99%E -3.25%K -6.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-15 11:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-08-16 11:55
Matchbook◎1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-08-16 11:55
ProphetX◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-08-16 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-16 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%0.5%2026-08-16 11:55
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-08-16 06:35
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%1.9%2026-08-16 11:55