Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jelena Ostapenko v Magdalena Frech

Inizio: 2026-08-15 16:30 UTC

Finale: Jelena Ostapenko 0–2 Magdalena Frech

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

63 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jelena Ostapenko (Casa)

Previsione 51.50%1.94quota equa
EV -2.14%
Vantaggio -1.13%
Kelly -2.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.78%51.65%51.55%53.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.841.841.9057.14%54.26%54.35%52.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Magdalena Frech (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.50%2.06quota equa
EV -2.04%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -2.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.95%48.35%48.45%49.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.881.961.952.0253.19%51.13%51.28%49.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Jelena Ostapenko (Casa): 51.50%; Magdalena Frech (Trasferta): 48.50%. Per Magdalena Frech (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.06. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.02, con un valore atteso del -2.04%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -2.14%E -1.13%K -2.38%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -4.95%E -2.52%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 07:00
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -2.66%E -1.41%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -3.01%E -1.50%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 15:15
1xBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%EV -3.17%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%EV -2.04%E -1.01%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-15 16:29
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.17%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -3.01%E -1.50%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-15 13:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.04%EV -3.17%E -1.69%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.95%E -2.52%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 06:59
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 10:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 08:34
LowVig.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 12:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 12:29
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 13:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.92%E -3.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:29
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.92%E -3.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.92%E -3.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:29
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:30
Grosvenor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:30
Casumo🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:30
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:30
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:29
betPARX🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:29
Bally Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -3.69%E -1.97%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -6.40%E -3.32%K -6.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 09:29
GTbets🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.20%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.80%EV -2.04%E -1.01%K -2.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-15 15:40
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 13:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 13:54
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 16:19
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.72%E -2.55%K -5.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 13:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.23%E -2.84%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.98%E -2.01%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 11:12
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.23%E -2.84%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.98%E -2.01%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 07:20
Betsson🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.23%E -2.84%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.98%E -2.01%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 02:15
NordicBet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -5.23%E -2.84%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -3.98%E -2.01%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 02:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.23%E -2.84%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.95%E -2.52%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 13:59
BetUS🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -5.23%E -2.84%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -7.86%E -4.14%K -8.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 16:24
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.01%E -1.50%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 15:14
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.01%E -1.50%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 15:49
BetAnything🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.01%E -1.50%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 15:49
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.01%E -1.50%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 16:13
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.01%E -1.50%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 16:12
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.01%E -1.50%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 16:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -4.46%E -2.27%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:22
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 13:54
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 10:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.92%E -3.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 15:44
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.75%E -3.14%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 07:29
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -6.26%E -3.44%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -3.98%E -2.01%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 16:14
PlayUp🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.26%E -3.44%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 16:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.26%E -3.44%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.92%E -3.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 10:45
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -6.26%E -3.44%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.92%E -3.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-15 10:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -6.26%E -3.44%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -8.83%E -4.70%K -10.03%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 09:29
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.29%E -4.05%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.01%E -1.50%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 15:15
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.29%E -4.05%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.01%E -1.50%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.29%E -4.05%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.01%E -1.50%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 16:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.29%E -4.05%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 10:44
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.29%E -4.05%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 10:44
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.29%E -4.05%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 02:15
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.29%E -4.05%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.37%E -3.86%K -8.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 02:13
Betclic (FR)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -7.81%E -4.36%K -9.88%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -3.49%E -1.76%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 16:19
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -8.84%E -4.99%K -11.48%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -3.01%E -1.50%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 18:43
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.87%E -5.64%K -13.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.43%E -2.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-15 02:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-15 16:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-15 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-15 14:55
ProphetX◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.1%2026-08-15 16:15
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-08-15 16:10
Matchbook◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%2.1%2026-08-15 16:10
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-08-15 16:20