Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Diana Shnaider v Maja Chwalinska

Inizio: 2026-08-17 18:12 UTC

Finale: Diana Shnaider 2–0 Maja Chwalinska

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

58 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Diana Shnaider (Casa)

Previsione 75.02%1.33quota equa
EV -3.23%
Vantaggio -2.50%
Kelly -11.12%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
73.07%75.07%75.07%76.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.271.261.2981.97%78.94%79.37%77.52%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Maja Chwalinska (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.98%4.00quota equa
EV +2.42%
Vantaggio +0.591%
Kelly +0.782%
Crescita +0.019%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.22%24.93%24.93%26.93%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.773.774.1028.57%26.54%26.53%24.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Diana Shnaider (Casa): 75.02%; Maja Chwalinska (Trasferta): 24.98%. Per Maja Chwalinska (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.00. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.10, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +2.42%.

Quote dei bookmaker (58 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
DraftKings🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.07%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV +2.42%E +0.591%K +0.782%G +0.019%5.0%2026-08-17 17:34
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 76.12%EV -3.98%E -3.11%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.88%EV +1.92%E +0.472%K +0.625%G +0.012%2.6%2026-08-17 17:15
Coolbet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.98%E -3.11%K -14.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.075%E -0.019%K -0.025%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-17 17:10
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.075%E -0.019%K -0.025%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-17 16:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.98%E -3.11%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -2.57%E -0.660%K -0.887%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-17 14:20
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.73%E -3.72%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.57%E -0.660%K -0.887%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-17 14:33
Winamax (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.98%E -3.11%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.82%E -0.993%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-17 14:19
FanDuel🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.73%E -3.72%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.82%E -0.993%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 11:15
BetAnything🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.73%E -3.72%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.82%E -0.993%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-17 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.82%E -0.993%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:05
Casumo🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.82%E -0.993%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.82%E -0.993%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:04
Unibet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.82%E -0.993%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.82%E -0.993%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.82%E -0.993%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:09
TABtouch🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.82%E -0.993%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:09
Grosvenor🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.82%E -0.993%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:04
BetRivers🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.82%E -0.993%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.82%E -0.993%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:09
Bally Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.82%E -0.993%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.82%E -0.993%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.82%E -0.993%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:09
betPARX🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -3.82%E -0.993%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 11:04
Fanatics🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.73%E -3.72%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.07%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-17 17:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.07%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-17 17:43
BetMGM🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.07%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-17 13:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -8.48%E -6.95%K -38.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -5.07%E -1.33%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 11:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -3.23%E -2.50%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-17 09:53
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.61%EV -3.23%E -2.50%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -5.32%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-17 09:54
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.23%E -2.50%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-17 05:04
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.98%E -3.11%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 09:55
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -3.98%E -3.11%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 09:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.73%E -3.72%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 11:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-17 13:29
betfred_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 09:59
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 11:14
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 09:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 13:35
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.32%E -1.69%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 13:35
1xBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.98%E -3.11%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -6.57%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 17:54
GTbets🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -3.98%E -3.11%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -6.57%E -1.76%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 11:04
theScore Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.73%E -3.72%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 16:10
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.73%E -3.72%K -17.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-17 17:43
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.48%E -4.35%K -21.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-17 13:35
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-17 12:44
PMU (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.98%E -5.63%K -29.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -7.57%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-16 11:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -3.98%E -3.11%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.82%E -2.42%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-17 17:54
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.23%E -2.50%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.07%E -2.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 09:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.23%E -2.50%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.07%E -2.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 09:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.23%E -2.50%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.07%E -2.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 09:45
William Hill🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.23%E -2.50%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.07%E -2.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-17 09:49
PlayUp🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -3.98%E -3.11%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -10.07%E -2.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-17 14:49
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.07%E -2.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 13:10
betano_uk🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.23%E -4.98%K -24.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.07%E -2.80%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-17 13:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.23%E -2.50%K -11.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 14:30
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.98%E -3.11%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 17:44
Neds🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.98%E -3.11%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -3.98%E -3.11%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -12.57%E -3.59%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 13:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-08-17 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-17 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-17 17:55
Matchbook◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-17 17:55
ProphetX◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-08-17 17:50
Novig◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.9%2026-08-17 17:55
Smarkets◎1.30I 76.92%NM 75.24%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.76%2.2%2026-08-17 17:55