Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daria Snigur v Yuliia Starodubtseva

Início: 2026-08-14 15:00 UTC

Final: Daria Snigur 2–0 Yuliia Starodubtseva

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daria Snigur (Local)

Previsão 63.35%1.58odd justa
EV -3.08%
Vantagem -2.01%
Kelly -5.81%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.53

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.87%63.22%63.41%64.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.451.501.501.5368.97%66.50%66.45%65.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visitante)

Previsão 36.65%2.73odd justa
EV -1.40%
Vantagem -0.522%
Kelly -0.830%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.58%36.78%36.59%39.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.382.572.552.6942.02%38.98%39.22%37.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Daria Snigur (Local): 63.35%; Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visitante): 36.65%. Para Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.73. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.69, com valor esperado de -1.40%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -2.87%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 14:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-13 06:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.22%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.78%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-13 06:30
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 05:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 11:15
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 14:55
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -3.08%E -2.01%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -12.77%E -5.36%K -9.25%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 03:04
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.90%EV -3.71%E -2.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.10%EV -1.40%E -0.522%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-14 14:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -3.71%E -2.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV -2.87%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-14 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.71%E -2.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 11:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.71%E -2.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 11:14
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -3.71%E -2.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 13:19
Neds🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.71%E -2.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 06:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -3.71%E -2.44%K -7.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -10.20%E -4.16%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-13 06:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:14
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:15
Grosvenor🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:15
TABtouch🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:14
Casumo🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:14
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:15
betPARX🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:15
Unibet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 11:14
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 06:30
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 14:04
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 06:39
GTbets🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -4.35%E -2.88%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV -8.00%E -3.19%K -5.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-13 15:05
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.87%E -1.08%K -1.74%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 14:48
FanDuel🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -3.24%E -1.23%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-14 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 13:24
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.60%E -1.37%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 13:34
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.97%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:50
betfred_uk🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -3.97%E -1.51%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 06:29
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 14:35
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 07:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 07:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-13 07:50
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 11:25
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 05:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 14:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 12:39
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 13:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 14:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%EV -5.43%E -2.11%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-13 07:09
LeoVegas🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 06:09
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -6.90%E -2.72%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-13 06:19
TAB🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.98%E -3.32%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-14 14:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -5.61%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 11:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.47%EV -5.61%E -3.77%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.53%EV -9.10%E -3.67%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 11:14
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -1.77%E -0.660%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 14:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.70%E -1.81%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 14:49
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 06:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -6.25%E -4.22%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-13 06:20
SportsBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.61%EV -6.88%E -4.68%K -14.64%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.39%EV -5.80%E -2.26%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 13:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.15%E -5.62%K -18.10%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.53%E -2.56%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-14 06:09
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.15%E -5.62%K -18.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 13:25
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -8.15%E -5.62%K -18.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -8.37%E -3.35%K -5.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 13:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%0.3%2026-08-14 14:55
ProphetX◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-08-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-08-14 14:50
Novig◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.35%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.65%0.9%2026-08-14 14:50
Matchbook◎1.49I 67.11%NM 64.78%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.22%3.6%2026-08-14 14:55