Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Qinwen Zheng v Mirra Andreeva

2026-10-11 11:30 UTC — WTA China Open

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

38%

62%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Qinwen Zheng (Local)

Predicción 37.60%2.66momio equitativo

EV -1.12%

Ventaja -0.426%

Kelly -0.688%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.63

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

36.12%37.55%37.68%39.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

2.352.522.522.6342.55%39.67%39.68%38.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Mirra Andreeva (Visitante)

Predicción 62.40%1.60momio equitativo

EV -1.40%

Ventaja -0.888%

Kelly -2.42%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

60.10%62.45%62.32%63.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.441.521.531.5869.44%65.65%65.36%63.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Qinwen Zheng (Local): 37.60%; Mirra Andreeva (Visitante): 62.40%. Para Qinwen Zheng (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.66. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.63, con un valor esperado de -1.12%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
Pinnacle🎯	2.63I 38.02%NM 36.93%EV -1.12%E -0.426%K -0.688%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 63.07%EV -3.90%E -2.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-10-10 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.25%E -0.865%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.90%E -2.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-10-10 19:05
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.25%E -0.865%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-10 19:25
Grosvenor🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.25%E -0.865%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-10 19:25
Virgin Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.25%E -0.865%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-10 19:25
BetRivers🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.25%E -0.865%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-10 19:25
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.25%E -0.865%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-10 19:25
Casumo🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.25%E -0.865%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-10 19:25
TABtouch🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.25%E -0.865%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-10 19:25
Unibet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.25%E -0.865%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-10 19:26
LiveScore Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.25%E -0.865%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-10 19:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.25%E -0.865%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-10 19:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.25%E -0.865%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-10 19:25
Svenska Spel🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.25%E -0.865%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-10 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.25%E -0.865%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-10 19:25
Bally Bet🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.25%E -0.865%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-10 19:24
betPARX🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.25%E -0.865%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-10-10 19:25
Betway🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.25%E -0.865%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.79%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-10 15:20
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.25%E -0.865%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.79%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-10-10 19:03
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.25%E -0.865%K -1.41%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -8.27%E -5.62%K -17.59%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-10-10 19:25
GTbets🎯	2.57I 38.91%NM 38.07%EV -3.38%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.93%EV -1.40%E -0.888%K -2.42%G +0.000%	2.2%	2026-10-10 16:01
LowVig.ag🎯	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.38%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.65%E -1.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-10-10 20:50
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -3.38%E -1.31%K -2.15%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -2.65%E -1.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-10-10 20:50
Bovada🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.13%E -1.62%K -2.66%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.90%E -2.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-10-10 18:09
Betsson🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.13%E -1.62%K -2.66%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.15%E -3.39%K -9.90%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-10 19:05
NordicBet🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.13%E -1.62%K -2.66%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.15%E -3.39%K -9.90%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-10 19:04
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.13%E -1.62%K -2.66%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.79%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-10-10 19:05
BetMGM🎯	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -4.51%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-10-10 15:32
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -4.88%E -1.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.79%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-10-10 19:04
1xBet🎯	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -5.26%E -2.09%K -3.46%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -3.90%E -2.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-10-10 20:04
Coolbet🎯	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.26%E -2.09%K -3.46%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-10 17:40
DraftKings🎯	2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -5.26%E -2.09%K -3.46%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-10 15:16
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-10 17:10
William Hill🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-10 17:10
888sport🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-10 17:10
Sky Bet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-10 20:10
BoyleSports🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-10 15:35
Fanatics🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-10 17:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-10 17:09
888sport (SE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-10-10 17:10
Betr (AU)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.15%E -3.39%K -9.90%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-10 18:10
PlayUp🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.15%E -3.39%K -9.90%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-10 17:10
Fliff🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.79%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-10 19:25
Caesars🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.79%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-10 15:40
TAB🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.01%E -2.40%K -4.01%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.79%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-10 20:40
SportsBet🎯	2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -7.14%E -2.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.27%E -2.11%K -5.95%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-10-10 20:00
FanDuel🎯	2.46I 40.65%NM 38.81%EV -7.51%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.19%EV -2.65%E -1.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-10-10 20:05
ReBet🎯	2.46I 40.65%NM 37.72%EV -7.51%E -3.05%K -5.15%G +0.000%	1.49I 67.11%NM 62.28%EV -7.02%E -4.71%K -14.32%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-10-10 19:05
theScore Bet🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.89%E -3.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.90%E -2.53%K -7.22%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-10-10 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.89%E -3.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.79%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-10-10 15:35
Coral🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -7.89%E -3.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.79%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-10-10 15:35
LeoVegas🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -7.89%E -3.22%K -5.44%G +0.000%	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.50%EV -8.27%E -5.62%K -17.59%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-10-10 19:05
PMU (FR)🎯	2.43I 41.15%NM 37.21%EV -8.64%E -3.56%K -6.04%G +0.000%	1.44I 69.44%NM 62.79%EV -10.14%E -7.04%K -23.04%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-10-10 19:25
Paddy Power🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.77%E -4.07%K -6.98%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-10-10 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.77%E -4.07%K -6.98%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-10-10 15:35
Neds🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.77%E -4.07%K -6.98%G +0.000%	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.52%E -2.96%K -8.53%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-10-10 15:35
betano_uk🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.77%E -4.07%K -6.98%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.79%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-10 16:04
Bet Victor🎯	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.77%E -4.07%K -6.98%G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.39%E -4.26%K -12.79%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-10-10 15:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -10.52%E -4.42%K -7.62%G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.03%E -1.29%K -3.55%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-10-10 15:30
Bet Right🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -11.65%E -4.96%K -8.63%G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.65%E -1.70%K -4.73%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-10-10 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.16%EV -11.65%E -4.96%K -8.63%G +0.000%	1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -9.51%E -6.56%K -21.14%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-10-10 19:05

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%	1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%	0.4%	2026-10-10 20:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%	1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%	0.4%	2026-10-10 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%	1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%	0.4%	2026-10-10 20:10
Matchbook◎	2.64I 37.88%NM 37.74%	1.60I 62.50%NM 62.26%	0.4%	2026-10-10 20:15
Smarkets◎	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.83%	1.57I 63.69%NM 62.17%	2.5%	2026-10-10 20:45