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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Ma Yexin v Polina Kudermetova

开赛时间： 2026-09-30 04:45 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (7 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ma Yexin (主队)

预测 42.73%2.34公平赔率
EV -3.42%
优势 -1.51%
Kelly -2.72%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.26

博彩公司预测分布
42.08%42.80%42.60%43.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.052.212.232.2648.78%45.22%44.84%44.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Polina Kudermetova (客队)

预测 57.27%1.75公平赔率
EV -3.22%
优势 -1.91%
Kelly -4.67%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.69

博彩公司预测分布
56.16%57.20%57.40%57.92%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.541.651.651.6964.94%60.62%60.61%59.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ma Yexin (主队)：42.73%；Polina Kudermetova (客队)：57.27%。 对于“Polina Kudermetova (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.75。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.69，期望值为-3.22%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -3.42%E -1.51%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -4.94%E -2.97%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-30 03:40
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-30 04:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.85%E -1.71%K -3.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-30 04:40
SportsBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.42%EV -4.28%E -1.91%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-30 03:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 04:25
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 04:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 04:25
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 04:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 04:25
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 04:25
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 04:25
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 04:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 04:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 04:25
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 04:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 04:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 04:25
Bally Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.70%E -2.11%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-30 04:24
GTbets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -5.13%E -2.31%K -4.21%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-30 04:30
NordicBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.56%E -2.52%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-30 03:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.56%E -2.52%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-30 03:40
ReBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.04%EV -5.56%E -2.52%K -4.59%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.96%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-30 03:40
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.22%E -1.91%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-30 04:40
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 03:40
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 03:53
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 03:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.99%E -2.72%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.37%E -2.61%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 04:15
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.84%E -3.14%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -5.51%E -3.34%K -8.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-30 03:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 42.32%EV -8.55%E -4.00%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%EV -10.09%E -6.43%K -17.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-30 04:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.08%EV -9.40%E -4.44%K -8.40%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.92%EV -11.81%E -7.67%K -21.87%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-30 04:23
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.40%E -6.05%K -11.81%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -8.37%E -5.23%K -13.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-30 03:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.52%10.6%2026-09-30 03:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 51.77%1.61I 62.11%NM 48.23%28.8%2026-09-30 04:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 51.77%1.61I 62.11%NM 48.23%28.8%2026-09-30 04:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.50I 66.67%NM 40.71%1.03I 97.09%NM 59.29%63.8%2026-09-30 04:35