Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Peyton Stearns v McCartney Kessler

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-02 15:25 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Peyton Stearns (Local)

Prévision 47.12%2.12cote équitable
EV +17.79%
Avantage +7.12%
Kelly +11.86%
Croissance +2.11%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%47.59%47.05%63.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.931.962.5066.67%51.85%51.15%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

McCartney Kessler (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.88%1.89cote équitable
EV +38.56%
Avantage +14.72%
Kelly +23.80%
Croissance +9.18%

avec la cote maximale 2.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.41%52.41%52.95%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.891.802.6266.67%52.85%55.56%38.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Peyton Stearns (Local) : 47.12% ; McCartney Kessler (Visiteur) : 52.88%. Pour McCartney Kessler (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.89. 12 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.62, soit une espérance positive de +38.56%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -29.33%E -19.55%K -58.65%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV +38.56%E +14.72%K +23.80%G +9.18%4.8%2026-04-02 15:06
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -26.50%E -16.99%K -47.32%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV +33.80%E +13.36%K +22.09%G +7.47%3.6%2026-04-02 15:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -26.50%E -16.99%K -47.32%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV +33.80%E +13.36%K +22.09%G +7.47%3.6%2026-04-02 15:07
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -26.50%E -16.99%K -47.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV +32.21%E +12.88%K +21.47%G +6.92%4.1%2026-04-02 15:03
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -29.33%E -19.55%K -58.65%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV +30.63%E +12.40%K +20.83%G +6.38%7.2%2026-04-02 15:06
Bet Right🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -26.50%E -16.99%K -47.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV +29.57%E +12.07%K +20.39%G +6.03%4.9%2026-04-02 15:03
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -26.97%E -17.40%K -49.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +26.92%E +11.22%K +19.23%G +5.18%6.2%2026-04-02 15:06
Betr (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -25.56%E -16.18%K -44.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV +24.28%E +10.33%K +17.98%G +4.37%5.8%2026-04-02 15:03
GTbets🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.82%EV -19.90%E -11.71%K -28.43%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.18%EV +23.22%E +9.97%K +17.46%G +4.05%1.7%2026-04-02 15:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -25.56%E -16.18%K -44.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +18.99%E +8.44%K +15.19%G +2.89%7.7%2026-04-02 15:06
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -25.56%E -16.18%K -44.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV +18.99%E +8.44%K +15.19%G +2.89%7.7%2026-04-02 15:06
FanDuel🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -15.19%E -8.44%K -18.99%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +5.77%E +2.88%K +5.77%G +0.333%5.6%2026-04-02 15:13
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -12.37%E -6.65%K -14.38%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -1.63%E -0.879%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.82%EV -15.19%E -8.44%K -18.99%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -1.63%E -0.879%K -1.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-02 15:13
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.65%E -3.91%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.16%E -1.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-02 15:15
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.16%E -1.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-02 15:14
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -10.01%E -5.24%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -2.16%E -1.17%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 15:14
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -7.65%E -3.91%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -2.69%E -1.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.22%E -1.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.01%E -5.24%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.22%E -1.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 15:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.01%E -5.24%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.22%E -1.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 15:15
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.01%E -5.24%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.22%E -1.76%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-02 15:15
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -9.07%E -4.70%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.60%EV -4.28%E -2.36%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.77%E -2.88%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.77%E -2.88%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 15:15
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 15:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -15.19%E -8.44%K -18.99%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.67%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-02 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -10.95%E -5.79%K -12.31%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -5.87%E -3.30%K -7.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-02 15:15
Casumo🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 15:14
Unibet (NL)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 15:14
betPARX🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.81%EV -2.47%E -1.19%K -2.31%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.19%EV -7.45%E -4.26%K -9.94%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-02 15:14
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.41%E -1.67%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.98%E -4.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 15:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.41%E -1.67%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.98%E -4.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-02 15:14
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -3.88%E -1.90%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -7.98%E -4.59%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-02 15:14
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.06%E -0.504%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -3.88%E -1.90%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 15:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -3.88%E -1.90%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 15:14
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.89%EV -3.88%E -1.90%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.11%EV -8.51%E -4.92%K -11.66%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-02 15:14
LeoVegas🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -4.83%E -2.39%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -9.57%E -5.59%K -13.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-02 15:14
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.77%E -2.88%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.57%E -5.59%K -13.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-02 15:14
DraftKings🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -0.116%E -0.055%K -0.103%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -10.10%E -5.94%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 15:14
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.06%E -0.504%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -10.10%E -5.94%K -14.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-02 15:14
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.41%E -1.67%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.10%E -5.94%K -14.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 15:15
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.41%E -1.67%K -3.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.10%E -5.94%K -14.42%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-02 15:15
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +3.65%E +1.66%K +3.04%G +0.111%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -10.62%E -6.29%K -15.40%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-02 15:15
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.43%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 53.57%EV -10.62%E -6.29%K -15.40%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-02 15:15
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -1.06%E -0.504%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -11.68%E -7.00%K -17.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-02 15:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.98%EV -8.13%E -4.17%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.02%EV -12.21%E -7.36%K -18.50%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-02 15:14
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +3.65%E +1.66%K +3.04%G +0.111%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -14.33%E -8.84%K -23.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-02 15:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +12.13%E +5.10%K +8.79%G +1.07%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -19.09%E -12.47%K -36.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 15:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +12.13%E +5.10%K +8.79%G +1.07%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -19.09%E -12.47%K -36.01%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-02 15:15
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +17.79%E +7.12%K +11.86%G +2.11%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -20.67%E -13.78%K -41.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-02 15:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 44.06%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.94%0.4%2026-04-02 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-04-02 15:15
ProphetX2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28%1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72%1.3%2026-04-02 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.14%1.73I 57.80%NM 56.86%1.7%2026-04-02 15:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%2.8%2026-04-02 15:15
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%4.3%2026-04-02 15:15