L’École des cotes

Katie Volynets v Diana Shnaider

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-01 00:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Katie Volynets (Local)

Prévision 33.69%2.97cote équitable
EV +2.75%
Avantage +0.902%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.037%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.15%33.41%33.77%35.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.892.853.0539.22%34.58%35.09%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Diana Shnaider (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.31%1.51cote équitable
EV -3.19%
Avantage -2.18%
Kelly -6.92%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.72%66.59%66.23%68.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.401.401.4673.53%71.25%71.43%68.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.75%E +0.902%K +1.34%G +0.037%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:04
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.75%E +0.902%K +1.34%G +0.037%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:05
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.75%E +0.902%K +1.34%G +0.037%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.75%E +0.902%K +1.34%G +0.037%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.75%E +0.902%K +1.34%G +0.037%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:05
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.75%E +0.902%K +1.34%G +0.037%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:05
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.75%E +0.902%K +1.34%G +0.037%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.75%E +0.902%K +1.34%G +0.037%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:05
Casumo3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.75%E +0.902%K +1.34%G +0.037%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:05
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.75%E +0.902%K +1.34%G +0.037%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:05
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.75%E +0.902%K +1.34%G +0.037%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:05
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.75%E +0.902%K +1.34%G +0.037%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:05
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV +2.75%E +0.902%K +1.34%G +0.037%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -8.49%E -6.15%K -22.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:05
GTbets3.01I 33.22%NM 31.59%EV +1.40%E +0.466%K +0.698%G +0.010%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.41%EV -7.83%E -5.63%K -20.07%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 00:25
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.07%E +0.355%K +0.533%G +0.006%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Virgin Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV +1.07%E +0.355%K +0.533%G +0.006%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.82%E -7.22%K -27.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 00:05
DraftKings2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%EV +0.055%E +0.019%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%EV -7.16%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 00:30
BetUS2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.30%E -0.794%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.17%E -3.62%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 00:05
LowVig.ag2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.64%E -0.913%K -1.40%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-01 00:04
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.99%E -1.40%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.17%E -3.62%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 00:10
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.99%E -1.40%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.17%E -3.62%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 00:05
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.99%E -1.40%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.17%E -3.62%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 00:04
Unibet (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 00:05
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.17%E -3.62%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 00:04
theScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.17%E -3.62%K -12.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 00:05
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.84%E -4.11%K -13.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 00:05
NetBet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -5.67%E -2.03%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -9.15%E -6.68%K -24.74%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 00:44
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -6.35%E -2.28%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:20
1xBet2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -6.68%E -2.41%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -3.19%E -2.18%K -6.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 00:40
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.36%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 00:05
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.36%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.36%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.51%E -3.13%K -10.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 00:05
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.36%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.17%E -3.62%K -12.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-01 00:05
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.36%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.16%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.36%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.16%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.36%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.16%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:05
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.36%E -2.67%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.16%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 00:04
PMU (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -9.04%E -3.35%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.16%E -5.12%K -17.91%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 00:00
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.28%EV -14.09%E -5.53%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.72%EV -7.83%E -5.63%K -20.07%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-01 00:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52%0.2%2026-04-01 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-04-01 00:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%0.4%2026-04-01 00:44
ProphetX2.96I 33.78%NM 33.48%1.49I 67.11%NM 66.52%0.9%2026-04-01 00:45
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%1.6%2026-04-01 00:45
Novig2.93I 34.13%NM 33.41%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.59%2.2%2026-04-01 00:45