A Escola das Odds

Jessica Pegula v Yuliia Starodubtseva

Início: 2026-04-05 17:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Previsão 75.76%1.32odd justa
EV -2.26%
Vantagem -1.76%
Kelly -7.81%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.29

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
73.68%75.80%75.68%78.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.201.251.251.2983.33%79.76%80.00%77.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Yuliia Starodubtseva (Visitante)

Previsão 24.24%4.13odd justa
EV +9.06%
Vantagem +2.01%
Kelly +2.59%
Crescimento +0.235%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.05%24.20%24.32%26.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.853.804.5028.57%25.95%26.32%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -9.08%E -7.57%K -45.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +9.06%E +2.01%K +2.59%G +0.235%5.6%2026-04-05 10:59
Winamax (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.78%E -2.98%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -0.633%E -0.154%K -0.204%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-05 14:40
GTbets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.08%EV -3.78%E -2.98%K -14.00%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.92%EV -2.09%E -0.517%K -0.687%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-05 12:29
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.54%E -3.60%K -17.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 14:39
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 16:15
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 15:45
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 15:42
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 10:55
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 10:54
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 10:54
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.05%E -4.88%K -25.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 13:55
Betclic (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.05%E -4.88%K -25.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 16:48
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.57%E -6.20%K -34.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.06%E -0.764%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 14:40
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.78%E -2.98%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 14:37
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.78%E -2.98%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-05 12:20
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 14:40
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -9.08%E -7.57%K -45.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -5.48%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-05 16:49
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.02%E -2.36%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 12:35
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -3.02%E -2.36%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -5.72%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 12:35
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 16:55
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 14:45
PlayUp1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 14:50
Unibet (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 16:49
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 14:39
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 14:39
Winamax (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.64%EV -6.05%E -4.88%K -25.22%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -6.69%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 14:40
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -3.78%E -2.98%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -7.42%E -1.94%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 16:55
Unibet (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.60%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 15:09
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.60%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 15:10
Grosvenor1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.60%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 15:10
Unibet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.60%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 15:10
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.60%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 15:09
Unibet (NL)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.60%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 15:10
TABtouch1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.60%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 15:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.60%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 15:09
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.60%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 15:09
Svenska Spel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.60%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 15:10
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.60%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 15:10
Bally Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.60%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 15:10
ATG (SE)1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.60%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 15:10
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -4.54%E -3.60%K -17.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -7.90%E -2.08%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 14:50
DraftKings1.27I 78.74%NM 74.90%EV -3.78%E -2.98%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.10%EV -8.15%E -2.15%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-05 11:49
Betway1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.26%E -1.76%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-05 16:55
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.78%E -2.98%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 15:10
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.78%E -2.98%K -14.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-05 14:39
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 16:55
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 12:19
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-05 12:20
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.57%E -6.20%K -34.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.12%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 09:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 12:20
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 12:20
PMU (FR)1.24I 80.65%NM 74.90%EV -6.05%E -4.88%K -25.22%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.10%EV -10.33%E -2.79%K -3.82%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-05 16:54
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -12.75%E -3.54%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 10:43
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -5.29%E -4.24%K -21.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -15.17%E -4.34%K -6.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 16:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.28I 78.13%NM 77.66%4.45I 22.47%NM 22.34%0.6%2026-04-05 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-05 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-05 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%0.9%2026-04-05 16:45
Novig1.26I 79.37%NM 77.01%4.22I 23.70%NM 22.99%3.1%2026-04-05 16:50
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%3.3%2026-04-05 16:45