L’École des cotes

Iva Jović v Alycia Parks

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-01 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Iva Jović (Local)

Prévision 78.26%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.96%
Avantage -2.39%
Kelly -12.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.34%78.16%78.29%79.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.171.211.211.2485.47%82.61%82.64%80.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Alycia Parks (Visiteur)

Prévision 21.74%4.60cote équitable
EV +0.013%
Avantage +0.003%
Kelly +0.004%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.28%21.84%21.71%23.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.314.334.6025.00%23.22%23.09%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.013%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 00:05
SportsBet1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.64%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV +0.013%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 00:04
Coolbet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.16%E -0.480%K -0.617%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 02:25
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.16%E -0.480%K -0.617%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 02:25
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.16%E -0.480%K -0.617%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 07:20
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.16%E -0.480%K -0.617%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 04:25
888sport1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.16%E -0.480%K -0.617%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Mr Green (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.16%E -0.480%K -0.617%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 00:05
888sport (SE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.16%E -0.480%K -0.617%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 00:05
Paddy Power1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -2.16%E -0.480%K -0.617%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.34%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 10:05
Fanatics1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.34%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 00:05
Marathon Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -4.34%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 14:50
Unibet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.99%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.64%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.01%EV -4.34%E -0.985%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 14:50
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 07:54
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 07:55
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 07:55
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 07:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 08:04
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 08:05
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 07:55
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 07:55
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 07:55
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 07:55
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 07:55
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 07:55
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -5.42%E -1.25%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 08:04
GTbets1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.86%E -1.35%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 00:05
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.51%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 13:15
NordicBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.51%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 00:04
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.51%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 11:30
Betsson1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.51%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Betclic (FR)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.66%E -6.49%K -42.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -6.51%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-01 14:48
NetBet (FR)1.17I 85.47%NM 78.61%EV -8.44%E -7.21%K -49.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.39%EV -6.51%E -1.51%K -1.97%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-01 14:00
LowVig.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.74%E -3.04%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -7.16%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:20
BetOnline.ag1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.74%E -3.04%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -7.16%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 02:50
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 00:02
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 12:55
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-01 07:55
PointsBet (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 11:29
BetMGM1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 00:04
theScore Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.60%E -1.79%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 14:15
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.68%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 07:55
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.31%E -4.39%K -25.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.68%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-01 07:55
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.68%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 00:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.68%E -2.07%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 00:05
1xBet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.26%EV -3.74%E -3.04%K -16.27%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.74%EV -9.12%E -2.18%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 05:40
DraftKings1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -10.21%E -2.47%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 00:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 00:04
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.86%E -2.65%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 00:05
PlayUp1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.96%E -2.39%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.03%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 11:30
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.03%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 13:15
TAB1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.53%E -3.71%K -20.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.03%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 02:50
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.03%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 00:05
Everygame1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.09%E -5.08%K -30.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.03%E -3.26%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 00:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-04-01 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-04-01 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 79.47%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.53%1.5%2026-04-01 14:50
ProphetX1.25I 80.00%NM 78.81%4.65I 21.51%NM 21.19%1.5%2026-04-01 14:15
Novig1.24I 80.65%NM 79.09%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.91%2.0%2026-04-01 11:40
Smarkets1.18I 84.75%NM 76.77%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%10.4%2026-04-01 14:45