La escuela de los momios

Bianca Andreescu v Sofia Kenin

Inicio: 2026-04-01 22:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bianca Andreescu (Local)

Predicción 63.03%1.59momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -1.08%
Kelly -3.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.26%62.91%63.41%64.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.501.501.5669.93%66.85%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sofia Kenin (Visitante)

Predicción 36.97%2.70momio equitativo
EV -0.169%
Ventaja -0.062%
Kelly -0.099%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.25%37.09%36.59%39.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.582.602.7042.55%38.72%38.46%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetMGM1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -1.68%E -1.08%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 21:35
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -2.31%E -1.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -12.37%E -5.22%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 21:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -2.31%E -1.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -12.37%E -5.22%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 21:34
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -2.31%E -1.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -13.11%E -5.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 21:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -2.31%E -1.49%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -13.11%E -5.58%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-01 21:35
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -2.94%E -1.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-01 21:35
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -2.94%E -1.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 21:35
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -2.94%E -1.91%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -9.41%E -3.84%K -6.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 21:35
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.57%E -2.33%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 21:35
NordicBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -3.57%E -2.33%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -8.67%E -3.51%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 21:34
Betsson1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -3.57%E -2.33%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -8.67%E -3.51%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 21:34
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.20%E -2.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -6.45%E -2.55%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 21:34
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.83%E -3.20%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.169%E -0.062%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-01 21:54
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -4.83%E -3.20%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -0.169%E -0.062%K -0.099%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-01 21:54
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 63.17%EV -4.83%E -3.20%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.83%EV -4.24%E -1.64%K -2.66%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 21:35
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -2.02%E -0.761%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 21:35
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:40
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:40
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:39
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:35
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:34
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:34
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:34
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -5.71%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 21:34
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 21:35
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 21:35
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -7.56%E -3.03%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-01 21:35
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.22%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.78%EV -8.67%E -3.51%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 21:35
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.46%E -3.64%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.26%E -4.69%K -8.04%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-01 21:34
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.09%E -4.09%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.02%E -0.761%K -1.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 21:54
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -0.169%E -0.062%K -0.099%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 21:34
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 21:55
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.72%E -4.54%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -3.87%E -1.49%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-01 21:54
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.35%E -5.00%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.169%E -0.062%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:34
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.35%E -5.00%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.169%E -0.062%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:34
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.35%E -5.00%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.169%E -0.062%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.35%E -5.00%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.169%E -0.062%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:34
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.35%E -5.00%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.169%E -0.062%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:34
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.35%E -5.00%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.169%E -0.062%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:35
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.35%E -5.00%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.169%E -0.062%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:34
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.35%E -5.00%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.169%E -0.062%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:34
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.35%E -5.00%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.169%E -0.062%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:35
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.35%E -5.00%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.169%E -0.062%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:35
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.35%E -5.00%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.169%E -0.062%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:34
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.35%E -5.00%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.169%E -0.062%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:35
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.35%E -5.00%K -15.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.169%E -0.062%K -0.099%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 21:35
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -2.76%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 21:34
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -2.76%E -1.05%K -1.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 21:34
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.02%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 35.98%EV -4.61%E -1.79%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-01 21:49
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.61%E -5.94%K -19.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -5.71%E -2.24%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 21:35
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.80%EV -9.87%E -6.90%K -22.96%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.20%EV -6.82%E -2.71%K -4.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-01 21:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-04-01 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-04-01 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.99%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.01%0.6%2026-04-01 21:55
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%0.8%2026-04-01 21:55
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 64.81%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.19%1.5%2026-04-01 21:55
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%2.6%2026-04-01 21:55