La escuela de los momios

Anna Bondár v Magdalena Frech

Inicio: 2026-04-01 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Anna Bondár (Local)

Predicción 50.11%2.00momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -1.18%
Kelly -2.41%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.41%50.17%50.00%51.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.901.911.9555.56%52.67%52.36%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Magdalena Frech (Visitante)

Predicción 49.89%2.00momio equitativo
EV -2.21%
Ventaja -1.13%
Kelly -2.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.52%49.83%50.00%51.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.811.881.871.9655.25%53.25%53.48%51.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-01 00:02
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 03:15
Unibet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 13:30
Hard Rock Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -2.29%E -1.18%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -8.70%E -4.75%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-01 13:29
Winamax (DE)1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -4.21%E -2.19%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 16:15
TABtouch1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 13:30
Grosvenor1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 13:30
Casumo1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 13:30
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 13:30
Unibet (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 13:30
BetRivers1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 13:30
Unibet (NL)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 13:30
Bally Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 13:30
Svenska Spel1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 13:30
betPARX1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 13:30
ATG (SE)1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -2.79%E -1.44%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-01 13:30
Virgin Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -3.79%E -1.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -9.19%E -5.05%K -11.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 13:30
LiveScore Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -3.79%E -1.98%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -9.19%E -5.05%K -11.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 13:30
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 15:55
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 15:00
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 04:25
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 09:25
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 14:15
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 09:29
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 09:29
Unibet (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.30%E -2.25%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 16:15
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:15
GTbets1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.80%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.20%E -2.74%K -5.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 00:05
PlayUp1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.80%E -2.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 14:50
PointsBet (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.30%E -2.80%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -5.70%E -3.02%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 15:55
Betsson1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.30%E -2.80%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.20%E -3.30%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 16:15
NordicBet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.30%E -2.80%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -6.20%E -3.30%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 16:15
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -5.30%E -2.80%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -9.69%E -5.36%K -11.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 16:48
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.70%E -3.02%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-01 16:40
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.80%E -3.08%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.20%E -3.30%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 16:15
1xBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:50
Marathon Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.71%E -1.92%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:50
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-01 09:59
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.30%E -3.37%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-01 16:00
SportsBet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.80%E -3.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:30
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.80%E -3.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.21%E -1.65%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:30
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 49.87%EV -6.80%E -3.66%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.13%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-01 16:49
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.21%E -1.13%K -2.30%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:49
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.71%E -1.39%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:01
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.20%E -3.30%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 10:00
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.20%E -3.30%K -7.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 10:00
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 09:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 09:35
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.30%E -3.95%K -8.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.70%E -4.16%K -9.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 16:05
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.70%E -3.58%K -7.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 16:49
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.30%E -4.54%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.70%E -4.75%K -10.48%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-01 16:40
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.81%E -5.45%K -12.26%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.70%E -2.46%K -5.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-01 16:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-04-01 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-04-01 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-04-01 16:55
Novig1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%0.8%2026-04-01 16:55
ProphetX1.94I 51.55%NM 50.89%2.01I 49.75%NM 49.11%1.3%2026-04-01 16:55
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%2.1%2026-04-01 16:55