Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva v Alycia Parks

2026-08-03 14:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local)

Predicción 42.04%2.38momio equitativo
EV -1.20%
Ventaja -0.510%
Kelly -0.887%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.51%42.07%42.13%43.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.242.252.3547.62%44.70%44.44%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alycia Parks (Visitante)

Predicción 57.96%1.73momio equitativo
EV -2.63%
Ventaja -1.57%
Kelly -3.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.28%57.93%57.87%59.49%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.541.631.651.6864.94%61.32%60.61%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local): 42.04%; Alycia Parks (Visitante): 57.96%. Para Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.38. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.35, con un valor esperado de -1.20%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -1.20%E -0.510%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.27%E -4.54%K -12.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:19
BetOnline.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -1.62%E -0.692%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 14:04
LowVig.ag2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -1.62%E -0.692%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-02 14:04
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -3.30%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 13:34
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.30%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:04
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.30%E -1.43%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:30
DraftKings2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -4.14%E -1.82%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 13:09
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.56%E -2.01%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -2.63%E -1.57%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 11:29
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
Bally Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 12:50
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:19
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:40
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:10
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 11:50
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -4.95%E -3.02%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:39
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.53%E -3.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 11:39
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -5.53%E -3.39%K -8.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 13:35
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:44
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:45
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:54
Caesars2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:24
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.69%E -4.16%K -10.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 11:30
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.27%E -4.54%K -12.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 11:40
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -8.43%E -5.33%K -14.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 13:44
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -5.40%E -2.40%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.01%E -5.74%K -15.80%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 13:49
Unibet (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -5.82%E -2.60%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -7.27%E -4.54%K -12.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 13:45
1xBet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -6.24%E -2.80%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -3.79%E -2.28%K -5.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:30
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -6.66%E -3.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -7.85%E -4.94%K -13.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 12:45
ReBet2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -6.66%E -3.00%K -5.46%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -7.85%E -4.94%K -13.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 14:10
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:14
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:15
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 11:15
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.27%E -4.54%K -12.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:05
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.27%E -4.54%K -12.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:19
betano_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.27%E -4.54%K -12.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:50
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.50%E -3.41%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.27%E -4.54%K -12.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 14:40
BetMGM2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -8.35%E -3.83%K -7.07%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -4.37%E -2.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-02 12:55
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.21%E -1.92%K -4.79%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:29
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -6.11%E -3.77%K -9.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 15:19
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.20%EV -9.61%E -4.47%K -8.35%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.80%EV -9.01%E -5.74%K -15.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-02 14:04
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -11.71%E -5.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -10.75%E -6.98%K -19.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 13:40
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -11.71%E -5.58%K -10.64%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -10.75%E -6.98%K -19.90%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-02 13:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%3.0%2026-08-02 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%3.0%2026-08-02 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%3.0%2026-08-02 12:40
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%3.0%2026-08-02 13:00
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 42.09%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.91%4.7%2026-08-02 12:38
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 42.48%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.52%8.0%2026-08-02 15:25