Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva v Alycia Parks

Inicio: 2026-08-03 20:56 UTC

Final: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 0–2 Alycia Parks

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local)

Predicción 41.62%2.40momio equitativo
EV -2.19%
Ventaja -0.930%
Kelly -1.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.26%41.68%41.60%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.262.252.3545.45%44.27%44.44%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Alycia Parks (Visitante)

Predicción 58.38%1.71momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%58.32%58.40%59.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.551.631.631.6864.52%61.31%61.35%59.52%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local): 41.62%; Alycia Parks (Visitante): 58.38%. Para Alycia Parks (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.71. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.68, con un valor esperado de -1.93%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.19%E -0.930%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 20:53
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.19%E -0.930%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 20:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.19%E -0.930%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 20:29
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -4.27%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -1.93%E -1.15%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 20:25
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -4.27%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 01:03
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.27%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.26%E -2.60%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-02 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -4.27%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -4.26%E -2.60%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 08:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -4.27%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -4.85%E -2.97%K -7.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 09:25
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.27%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 16:20
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.27%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:04
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.27%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:30
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.27%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 20:50
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.27%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 18:39
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.27%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.27%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.27%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-03 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.27%E -1.86%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.52%E -6.14%K -17.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.68%E -2.05%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.85%E -2.97%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 13:55
ReBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.58%EV -4.68%E -2.05%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.42%EV -4.85%E -2.97%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -4.68%E -2.05%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 20:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.79%EV -5.52%E -2.43%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.21%EV -4.85%E -2.97%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 19:39
NordicBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -5.93%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 19:05
Betsson🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -5.93%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 05:50
SportsBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.45%EV -5.93%E -2.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.55%EV -6.60%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 19:04
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
Bally Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:35
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 11:34
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 12:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:19
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 19:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:10
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 20:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 20:50
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 14:14
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 06:55
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:44
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 16:34
Caesars🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 18:25
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -6.35%E -2.82%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.60%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 11:40
DraftKings🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -7.60%E -3.42%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.51%EV -4.26%E -2.60%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 20:55
NetBet (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.88%EV -7.60%E -3.42%K -6.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -6.60%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 09:24
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.51%E -1.50%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 20:14
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -3.09%E -1.86%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 19:30
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -3.68%E -2.23%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 19:30
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.26%E -2.60%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 14:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -4.26%E -2.60%K -6.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 14:14
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -5.43%E -3.35%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.01%E -3.73%K -9.86%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 04:35
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.60%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:05
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.60%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.60%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.43%E -3.83%K -7.02%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.60%E -4.12%K -10.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 14:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-08-03 20:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-08-03 20:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-08-03 20:55
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-08-03 20:55
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.32%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.68%0.8%2026-08-03 20:55
ProphetX2.40I 41.67%NM 41.18%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.82%1.2%2026-08-03 20:55
Novig2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.6%2026-08-03 20:55