Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nikola Bartunkova v Bianca Andreescu

Início: 2026-08-03 18:53 UTC

Final: Nikola Bartunkova 2–0 Bianca Andreescu

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Nikola Bartunkova (Local)

Previsão 58.60%1.71odd justa
EV -2.14%
Vantagem -1.28%
Kelly -3.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.58%58.62%58.67%60.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.551.621.611.6764.52%61.92%62.11%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Bianca Andreescu (Visitante)

Previsão 41.40%2.42odd justa
EV +1.44%
Vantagem +0.587%
Kelly +0.992%
Crescimento +0.014%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.66%41.38%41.33%43.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.282.302.4547.62%43.78%43.48%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nikola Bartunkova (Local): 58.60%; Bianca Andreescu (Visitante): 41.40%. Para Bianca Andreescu (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.42. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.45, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.44%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.66%E -3.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.44%E +0.587%K +0.992%G +0.014%2.9%2026-08-03 18:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.66%E -3.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.44%E +0.587%K +0.992%G +0.014%2.9%2026-08-03 18:25
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -4.49%E -2.75%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -0.632%E -0.263%K -0.452%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 18:50
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.00%E -5.10%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.46%E -0.614%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.00%E -5.10%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.46%E -0.614%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.00%E -5.10%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.46%E -0.614%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 18:50
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -8.00%E -5.10%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.46%E -0.614%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 18:49
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -1.87%E -0.791%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-03 15:55
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.66%E -3.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 06:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.66%E -3.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 06:49
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.66%E -3.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 06:50
Grosvenor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.66%E -3.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 06:50
Casumo🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.66%E -3.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 06:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.66%E -3.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 06:49
TABtouch🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.66%E -3.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 06:50
Bally Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.66%E -3.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 06:50
betPARX🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.66%E -3.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 06:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.66%E -3.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 06:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.66%E -3.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 06:50
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.66%E -3.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.66%E -3.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 13:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.66%E -3.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -3.94%E -1.70%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -5.66%E -3.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -4.36%E -1.89%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 14:39
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.07%E -3.13%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 02:00
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.07%E -3.13%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.77%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 23:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -5.66%E -3.51%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -4.77%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-02 13:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.77%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.17%E -5.92%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.77%E -2.08%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.57%EV -5.07%E -3.13%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.43%EV -5.19%E -2.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 02:00
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.49%E -2.75%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 07:50
1xBet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -4.49%E -2.75%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -8.00%E -5.10%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.78%EV -5.60%E -2.46%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-03 04:35
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -2.73%E -1.64%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -6.43%E -2.84%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 14:39
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.14%E -1.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -2.14%E -1.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 18:45
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 17:29
BetAnything🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 21:55
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.07%E -3.13%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 12:55
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.07%E -3.13%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 14:40
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.07%E -3.13%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.42%E -4.69%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 22:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.42%E -4.69%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -6.84%E -3.04%K -5.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 18:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -2.14%E -1.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -7.26%E -3.24%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -8.50%E -3.85%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 18:45
Dabble (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.14%E -1.28%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 18:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -2.73%E -1.64%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 18:20
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.90%E -2.38%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:29
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 09:29
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 09:35
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 20:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.25%E -3.90%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 20:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -8.00%E -5.10%K -14.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -8.91%E -4.05%K -7.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-03 18:47
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -3.32%E -2.01%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -10.98%E -5.11%K -9.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 18:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -7.42%E -4.69%K -12.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -13.05%E -6.22%K -11.87%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-03 16:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-03 18:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-08-03 18:50
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-08-03 18:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-08-03 18:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.6%2026-08-03 18:45
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.41%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.59%2.6%2026-08-03 17:55