默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Naomi Osaka v Elena Rybakina

开赛时间: 2026-08-11 23:39 UTC

最终结果: Naomi Osaka 0–0 Elena Rybakina

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

63 家博彩公司 (22 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Naomi Osaka (主队)

预测 49.90%2.00公平赔率
EV +0.303%
优势 +0.151%
Kelly +0.300%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.01

博彩公司预测分布
47.52%49.80%50.00%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.891.882.0155.56%52.97%53.19%49.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

Elena Rybakina (客队)

预测 50.10%2.00公平赔率
EV +0.196%
优势 +0.098%
Kelly +0.196%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
47.37%50.20%50.00%52.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.891.902.0055.56%52.88%52.63%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Naomi Osaka (主队):49.90%;Elena Rybakina (客队):50.10%。 对于“Naomi Osaka (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.00。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为2.01,对应+0.303%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.52%EV +0.303%E +0.151%K +0.300%G +0.001%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.48%EV -8.82%E -4.85%K -10.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 23:32
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -1.69%E -0.860%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -3.31%E -1.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-11 23:15
Coolbet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.45%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-11 22:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -3.81%E -1.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-11 16:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-11 16:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.19%E -1.64%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.82%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 23:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -3.81%E -1.99%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 21:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.31%E -2.81%K -5.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 23:19
FanDuel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.82%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 19:55
DraftKings🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.82%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 23:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-11 21:00
GTbets🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.19%E -2.18%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.31%E -2.81%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-10 03:20
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.19%E -2.18%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.82%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 19:54
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 02:45
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 21:10
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 21:50
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 21:45
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 21:45
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 07:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 19:10
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-11 22:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.31%E -2.81%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 18:19
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:50
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 21:44
Betway🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 12:59
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.82%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 23:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.69%E -3.01%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.82%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 21:48
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 23:05
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 23:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 23:04
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 23:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 23:05
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 23:04
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 23:04
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 23:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 23:04
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 23:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-11 23:05
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 13:01
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 13:00
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -5.82%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-11 23:20
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -6.18%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-11 21:50
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 09:44
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 19:29
BetAnything🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-10 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-11 23:05
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 23:22
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 23:35
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 21:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 21:50
betano_uk🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 23:19
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 23:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 23:22
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.32%E -3.96%K -8.61%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 23:22
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -7.68%E -4.15%K -9.04%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-11 16:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-11 23:33
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.46%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -9.82%E -5.46%K -12.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-11 23:35
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.18%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.196%E +0.098%K +0.196%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 23:35
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.18%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.196%E +0.098%K +0.196%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 23:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.18%E -5.65%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.196%E +0.098%K +0.196%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 23:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-08-11 23:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-11 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-11 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-11 23:25
Novig◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.5%2026-08-11 23:35
ProphetX◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-08-11 23:35
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%2.3%2026-08-11 23:35