Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Marie Bouzkova v Taylor Townsend

2026-08-05 16:30 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Marie Bouzkova (Local)

Predicción 56.58%1.77momio equitativo
EV +1.84%
Ventaja +1.02%
Kelly +2.30%
Crecimiento +0.042%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.25%56.24%56.58%58.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.691.671.8065.36%59.04%59.88%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Taylor Townsend (Visitante)

Predicción 43.42%2.30momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.631%
Kelly -1.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.27

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.92%43.76%43.42%46.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.152.2750.00%46.85%46.51%44.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Marie Bouzkova (Local): 56.58%; Taylor Townsend (Visitante): 43.42%. Para Marie Bouzkova (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.77. 16 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 1.80, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.84%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +1.84%E +1.02%K +2.30%G +0.042%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 12:49
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.143%E +0.081%K +0.186%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.143%E +0.081%K +0.186%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:09
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.143%E +0.081%K +0.186%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:09
BetRivers1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.143%E +0.081%K +0.186%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Unibet (NL)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.143%E +0.081%K +0.186%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:09
Unibet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.143%E +0.081%K +0.186%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Casumo1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.143%E +0.081%K +0.186%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Bally Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.143%E +0.081%K +0.186%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:09
betPARX1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.143%E +0.081%K +0.186%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:09
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.143%E +0.081%K +0.186%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Unibet (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.143%E +0.081%K +0.186%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Grosvenor1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.143%E +0.081%K +0.186%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
ATG (SE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.143%E +0.081%K +0.186%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:09
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.143%E +0.081%K +0.186%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 18:10
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV +0.143%E +0.081%K +0.186%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 14:15
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -1.55%E -0.893%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 13:49
GTbets1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -2.12%E -1.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.29%EV -9.25%E -4.42%K -8.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 15:45
PMU (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -2.12%E -1.23%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -13.16%E -6.58%K -13.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 18:09
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.82%E -2.25%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.43%E -0.631%K -1.13%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-04 17:10
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.52%EV -3.82%E -2.25%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.48%EV -4.04%E -1.83%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:45
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -3.82%E -2.25%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -6.21%E -2.87%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 15:45
BetAnything1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.38%E -2.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-04 18:05
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.38%E -2.59%K -6.35%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 16:04
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.95%E -2.95%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 17:04
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.95%E -2.95%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.34%E -2.45%K -4.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 21:40
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.95%E -2.95%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 17:05
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 17:04
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:10
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 16:04
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 17:05
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 15:44
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:05
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 20:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 21:15
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:20
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:20
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -5.77%E -2.66%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 22:35
NordicBet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -6.21%E -2.87%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:00
Betsson1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -6.21%E -2.87%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 21:00
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 16:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 16:00
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 15:59
betano_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.51%E -3.30%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-04 15:59
Betr (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -6.08%E -3.66%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 17:10
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.66%EV -6.08%E -3.66%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.77%E -2.66%K -4.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 19:05
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.65%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -2.30%E -1.02%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:30
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.65%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 17:05
PlayUp1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.65%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 21:30
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.65%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 16:00
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.65%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 17:10
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.65%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.65%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 16:00
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 56.23%EV -6.65%E -4.03%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.77%EV -7.95%E -3.75%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 17:05
ReBet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -7.21%E -4.40%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -7.95%E -3.75%K -7.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 17:05
Unibet (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.15%EV -7.21%E -4.40%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.85%EV -8.81%E -4.20%K -8.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-04 22:35
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -4.47%E -2.03%K -3.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 21:35
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.34%E -5.15%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.64%E -3.09%K -5.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 21:20
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -9.48%E -5.92%K -15.79%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -10.99%E -5.36%K -10.46%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-04 17:05
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.08%EV -13.44%E -8.78%K -25.35%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 41.92%EV -7.95%E -3.75%K -7.09%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-04 18:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-04 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-04 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-04 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.28%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.72%0.9%2026-08-04 23:25
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.14%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.86%2.3%2026-08-04 23:25
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%5.0%2026-08-04 23:50
Arbitraje (1 combinación) +0.39%BoyleSports 1.80 (55.8%) / Coolbet 2.27 (44.2%)Ver detalles
Marie Bouzkova (Local)Taylor Townsend (Visitante)Margen
BoyleSports 1.80 (55.8%)Coolbet 2.27 (44.2%)+0.393%