La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Marie Bouzkova v Taylor Townsend

Inicio: 2026-08-05 16:39 UTC

Final: Marie Bouzkova 0–2 Taylor Townsend

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Marie Bouzkova (Local)

Predicción 55.43%1.80momio equitativo
EV -0.227%
Ventaja -0.126%
Kelly -0.283%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%55.32%55.38%56.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.721.721.8060.61%58.22%58.14%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Taylor Townsend (Visitante)

Predicción 44.57%2.24momio equitativo
EV -1.05%
Ventaja -0.475%
Kelly -0.864%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.22

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.15%44.68%44.62%46.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.912.082.102.2252.36%48.07%47.62%45.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Marie Bouzkova (Local): 55.43%; Taylor Townsend (Visitante): 44.57%. Para Marie Bouzkova (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.804. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.800, con un valor esperado de -0.227%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.227%E -0.126%K -0.283%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.63%E -4.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 12:49
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -1.89%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 16:34
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -1.89%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -9.97%E -4.93%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -1.89%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -9.97%E -4.93%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:35
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -1.89%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -9.97%E -4.93%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:35
Casumo🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -1.89%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -9.97%E -4.93%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:35
betPARX🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -1.89%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -9.97%E -4.93%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -1.89%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -9.97%E -4.93%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -1.89%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -9.97%E -4.93%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -1.89%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -9.97%E -4.93%K -9.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.89%E -1.07%K -2.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-05 16:35
TABtouch🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.00%E -1.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 16:35
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.00%E -1.71%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 16:35
Coolbet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -3.55%E -2.04%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -1.95%E -0.884%K -1.62%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-05 16:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.55%E -2.04%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.17%E -1.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 16:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.55%E -2.04%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.17%E -1.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 16:00
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.55%E -2.04%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.51%E -2.60%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-05 16:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -3.55%E -2.04%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -11.75%E -5.93%K -11.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 16:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -3.55%E -2.04%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -11.75%E -5.93%K -11.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 16:35
Bally Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -3.55%E -2.04%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -12.20%E -6.19%K -12.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 16:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.11%E -2.37%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 16:34
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.11%E -2.37%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 15:39
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.11%E -2.37%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 15:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.11%E -2.37%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 15:35
GTbets🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%EV -4.11%E -2.37%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.29%EV -6.85%E -3.28%K -6.28%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 15:45
DraftKings🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -4.11%E -2.37%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -7.29%E -3.51%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 16:35
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%EV -4.66%E -2.71%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%EV -1.05%E -0.475%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-05 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.66%E -2.71%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.62%E -2.16%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 15:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.66%E -2.71%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.07%E -2.38%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 15:34
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.32%EV -4.66%E -2.71%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.68%EV -5.07%E -2.38%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 15:35
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.66%E -2.71%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 15:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.66%E -2.71%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 12:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.66%E -2.71%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 15:35
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.66%E -2.71%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.63%E -4.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -4.66%E -2.71%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -8.63%E -4.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-05 16:15
BetAnything🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.22%E -3.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 13:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -5.22%E -3.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -8.63%E -4.21%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.28%EV -5.22%E -3.05%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.72%EV -13.09%E -6.71%K -13.78%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-05 16:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.77%E -3.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.17%E -1.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 16:25
Dabble (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.77%E -3.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.17%E -1.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 16:25
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.77%E -3.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.51%E -2.60%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 15:40
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.77%E -3.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.51%E -2.60%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 16:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.77%E -3.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 16:36
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.77%E -3.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.77%E -3.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 16:10
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.77%E -3.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 16:38
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.77%E -3.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 15:35
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.77%E -3.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 15:35
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.77%E -3.39%K -8.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 16:25
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.32%E -3.74%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.17%E -1.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 10:43
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.32%E -3.74%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.17%E -1.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 16:25
Fliff🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -6.32%E -3.74%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.80%EV -10.86%E -5.43%K -10.86%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-05 16:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.72%EV -6.88%E -4.09%K -10.11%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.28%EV -9.52%E -4.69%K -9.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-05 16:34
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.95%E -0.884%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 05:15
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 12:30
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 15:35
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 16:35
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 16:35
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 16:28
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 16:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 16:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 16:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.35%EV -7.43%E -4.45%K -11.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.65%EV -14.87%E -7.79%K -16.34%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-05 16:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.54%E -5.18%K -13.14%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.40%E -3.05%K -5.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 16:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-08-05 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-08-05 16:35
Matchbook◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-08-05 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-08-05 16:35
Novig◎1.75I 57.14%NM 56.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.75%1.6%2026-08-05 16:25
ProphetX◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.21%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.79%1.6%2026-08-05 16:35
Smarkets◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-08-05 16:35