Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Diane Parry v Kayla Day

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-03 15:00 UTC

Score final : Diane Parry 1–2 Kayla Day

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Diane Parry (Local)

Prévision 43.61%2.29cote équitable
EV +0.308%
Avantage +0.134%
Kelly +0.237%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.62%43.61%43.53%45.60%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.042.152.152.3049.02%46.45%46.51%43.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kayla Day (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.39%1.77cote équitable
EV -1.89%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -2.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.40%56.39%56.47%58.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.591.691.691.7462.89%59.10%59.17%57.47%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Diane Parry (Local) : 43.61% ; Kayla Day (Visiteur) : 56.39%. Pour Diane Parry (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.29. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.30, soit une espérance positive de +0.308%.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.308%E +0.134%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-03 11:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV +0.308%E +0.134%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-03 10:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -1.87%E -0.832%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 09:00
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.87%E -0.832%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 12:25
BetUS🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.87%E -0.832%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 14:39
Coolbet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.74%E -1.23%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 14:35
Pinnacle🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.74%E -1.23%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.01%E -1.75%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-03 14:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.62%EV -2.74%E -1.23%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.38%EV -10.34%E -6.51%K -17.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-03 14:54
FanDuel🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.08%EV -3.18%E -1.43%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.92%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 13:44
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 14:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-03 08:59
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 13:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 09:25
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 09:49
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 08:10
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 09:10
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 11:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 11:30
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 11:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 11:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 11:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 13:45
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -4.05%E -1.84%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -7.52%E -4.59%K -11.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 13:45
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -4.93%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 14:35
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -4.93%E -2.26%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 14:40
ReBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -5.80%E -2.68%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 14:04
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -5.80%E -2.68%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 14:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 10:05
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 14:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 14:40
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 14:35
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.27%E -3.14%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 14:39
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 11:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 14:35
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 08:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 08:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.96%E -4.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 14:35
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -6.23%E -2.90%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -8.65%E -5.34%K -13.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-03 14:54
NordicBet🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -7.11%E -3.34%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 09:49
Betsson🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -7.11%E -3.34%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 09:50
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -7.54%E -3.56%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 14:45
GTbets🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -7.98%E -3.78%K -7.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-03 09:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -8.41%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-03 05:54
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.41%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.45%E -1.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 05:50
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.41%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 09:49
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.41%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.14%E -2.44%K -5.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 14:45
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.41%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 08:14
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.41%E -4.01%K -7.65%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.83%E -3.49%K -8.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 08:14
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -9.29%E -4.46%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 05:54
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -9.29%E -4.46%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 05:54
Casumo🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -9.29%E -4.46%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 05:54
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -9.29%E -4.46%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 05:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -9.29%E -4.46%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 05:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -9.29%E -4.46%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 05:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -9.29%E -4.46%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 05:55
Grosvenor🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -9.29%E -4.46%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 05:55
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -9.29%E -4.46%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 05:54
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -9.29%E -4.46%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 05:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -9.29%E -4.46%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 05:55
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -9.29%E -4.46%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 05:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -9.29%E -4.46%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 05:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -9.29%E -4.46%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -1.89%E -1.08%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-03 05:54
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.60%EV -11.03%E -5.41%K -10.61%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.40%EV -3.58%E -2.09%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 05:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%0.5%2026-08-03 14:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-08-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-08-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%0.9%2026-08-03 14:55
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%1.1%2026-08-03 14:55
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%2.3%2026-08-03 14:55