Idioma:Español
Clara Tauson v Nikola Bartunkova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Clara Tauson (Local)
Predicción 51.34%1.95momio equitativo
EV +0.617%
Ventaja +0.315%
Kelly +0.643%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.65%51.36%51.56%53.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.741.851.861.9657.47%54.07%53.76%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante)
Predicción 48.66%2.05momio equitativo
EV -0.237%
Ventaja -0.116%
Kelly -0.226%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.05%48.64%48.44%51.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.781.911.912.0556.18%52.25%52.36%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Clara Tauson (Local): 51.34%; Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante): 48.66%. Para Clara Tauson (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.95. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.96, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.617%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (66 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV +0.617%E +0.315%K +0.643%G +0.004% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -6.08%E -3.15%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-04 23:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26%EV -1.44%E -0.748%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74%EV -5.59%E -2.88%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -1.44%E -0.748%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -8.51%E -4.53%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.95%E -1.02%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.05%E -3.69%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 19:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.95%E -1.02%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.05%E -3.69%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-04 21:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.39%EV -2.46%E -1.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.61%EV -6.08%E -3.15%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 00:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -2.46%E -1.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -6.56%E -3.42%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.46%E -1.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.05%E -3.69%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.46%E -1.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.05%E -3.69%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -2.46%E -1.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -7.05%E -3.69%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -2.46%E -1.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -9.00%E -4.81%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 00:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -2.46%E -1.30%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -12.40%E -6.89%K -15.50%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -2.98%E -1.57%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -6.08%E -3.15%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -2.98%E -1.57%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -7.05%E -3.69%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 00:19 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.49%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -6.08%E -3.15%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.49%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.56%E -3.42%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-04 22:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.51%E -4.53%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.51%E -4.53%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-04 23:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.51%E -4.53%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.51%E -4.53%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.51%E -4.53%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.51%E -4.53%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.51%E -4.53%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.51%E -4.53%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.51%E -4.53%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 00:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.49%E -1.86%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.51%E -4.53%K -9.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.10%E -2.62%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 00:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.10%E -2.62%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.00%E -4.81%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.00%E -4.81%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 00:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -9.00%E -4.81%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 00:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.73%EV -4.00%E -2.14%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -9.97%E -5.39%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 00:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.43%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -9.48%E -5.10%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.43%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -9.48%E -5.10%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -2.67%E -1.34%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 00:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.97%E -5.39%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.97%E -5.39%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.97%E -5.39%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 00:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.97%E -5.39%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.03%E -2.72%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.97%E -5.39%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 00:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.67%E -1.34%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-05 00:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.67%E -1.34%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-04 11:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.08%E -3.15%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.05%E -3.69%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.05%E -3.69%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.05%E -3.69%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-04 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.06%E -3.31%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.94%E -5.98%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -6.57%E -3.61%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -1.70%E -0.840%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 00:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -6.57%E -3.61%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -2.67%E -1.34%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -6.57%E -3.61%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -5.10%E -2.62%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 00:47 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -7.08%E -3.91%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -4.62%E -2.36%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.67%E -1.34%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 00:47 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.67%E -1.34%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -3.64%E -1.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.10%E -2.62%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.10%E -2.62%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-04 19:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.05%E -3.69%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-05 00:47 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.60%E -4.22%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -7.54%E -3.97%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 00:44 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.86%EV -8.11%E -4.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.14%EV -13.38%E -7.51%K -17.15%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.63%EV -8.62%E -4.84%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.37%EV -7.54%E -3.97%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -9.14%E -5.16%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -3.64%E -1.84%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -10.16%E -5.81%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.237%E -0.116%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.16%E -5.81%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.67%E -1.34%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -10.16%E -5.81%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.67%E -1.34%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.16%E -5.81%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.10%E -2.62%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -10.68%E -6.14%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -7.05%E -3.69%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37% | 0.4% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 00:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34% | 2.4% | 2026-08-05 00:50 |