Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Clara Tauson v Nikola Bartunkova

2026-08-05 00:30 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Clara Tauson (Local)

Predicción 50.66%1.97momio equitativo
EV -0.707%
Ventaja -0.361%
Kelly -0.736%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.96

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.61%50.76%50.60%52.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.791.871.881.9655.87%53.35%53.19%51.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante)

Predicción 49.34%2.03momio equitativo
EV -1.32%
Ventaja -0.660%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.78%49.24%49.40%50.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.851.911.912.0054.05%52.27%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Clara Tauson (Local): 50.66%; Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante): 49.34%. Para Clara Tauson (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.97. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.96, con un valor esperado de -0.707%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -0.707%E -0.361%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-04 23:40
Coolbet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -1.72%E -0.887%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -4.28%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 23:24
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:20
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:23
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 22:45
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:55
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 19:30
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:15
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:15
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:15
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:15
BetAnything1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:35
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.24%E -1.70%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 21:40
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -3.29%E -1.68%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-04 23:00
1xBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.52%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.48%EV -4.28%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 23:30
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:20
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 19:30
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 19:30
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.97%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:05
BetRivers1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.57%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:35
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.57%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:30
Unibet (NL)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.57%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:30
Unibet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.57%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:30
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.57%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:30
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.57%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:30
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.57%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.57%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:30
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.57%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:30
Bally Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.57%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:34
Svenska Spel1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.57%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:30
betPARX1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.25%E -2.25%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.75%E -3.57%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 19:30
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.28%E -2.21%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 23:00
FanDuel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 23:00
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.27%E -2.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:59
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.27%E -2.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 23:25
Dabble (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.27%E -2.74%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 00:05
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -6.75%E -3.57%K -7.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:24
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 23:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.76%E -2.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 23:55
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:00
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:35
BetOnline.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:35
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.27%E -2.82%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 00:05
Betclic (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -5.77%E -3.10%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -2.31%E -1.16%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 00:09
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -7.24%E -3.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 23:30
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.72%E -4.71%K -10.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.72%E -4.71%K -10.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 00:00
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.28%E -3.39%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.72%E -4.71%K -10.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 19:30
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.79%E -3.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -2.80%E -1.42%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:24
Unibet (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.79%E -3.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -2.80%E -1.42%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:25
ReBet1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.79%E -3.69%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -2.80%E -1.42%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 23:30
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.32%E -0.660%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 11:04
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 23:25
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 23:30
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 23:00
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 23:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.76%E -3.02%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-04 23:00
betano_uk1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.73%E -4.14%K -8.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 23:29
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.29%E -3.98%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.73%E -4.14%K -8.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 23:29
Betsson1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 23:25
NordicBet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -7.80%E -4.29%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 23:30
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.79%E -1.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-04 19:50
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.81%E -4.90%K -11.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.25%E -3.29%K -6.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-04 23:45
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 51.88%EV -9.32%E -5.21%K -11.80%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.12%EV -4.77%E -2.47%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 23:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-05 00:05
ProphetX2.05I 48.78%NM 48.49%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.51%0.6%2026-08-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-08-05 00:05
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.12%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%0.8%2026-08-05 00:00
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01%1.1%2026-08-04 23:50
Smarkets1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%2.3%2026-08-05 00:00