Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Belinda Bencic v Coco Gauff

2026-08-11 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Belinda Bencic (Local)

Predicción 40.50%2.47momio equitativo
EV -0.783%
Ventaja -0.320%
Kelly -0.540%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.90%40.49%40.45%42.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.342.362.4547.62%42.82%42.37%40.82%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Coco Gauff (Visitante)

Predicción 59.50%1.68momio equitativo
EV -1.82%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -2.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.14%59.51%59.55%61.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.531.581.571.6565.36%63.20%63.69%60.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Belinda Bencic (Local): 40.50%; Coco Gauff (Visitante): 59.50%. Para Belinda Bencic (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.47. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.45, con un valor esperado de -0.783%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -0.783%E -0.320%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-10 06:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -0.783%E -0.320%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -5.98%E -3.79%K -10.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 08:06
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -0.783%E -0.320%K -0.540%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 08:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -1.19%E -0.487%K -0.825%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -5.39%E -3.39%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-10 07:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.45%EV -1.19%E -0.487%K -0.825%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.55%EV -5.39%E -3.39%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-10 07:10
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.01%E -1.85%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-10 07:30
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.79%E -3.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 06:55
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 06:53
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 06:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 06:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 07:00
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 06:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 06:10
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 06:11
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 06:10
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 06:10
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 06:10
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 06:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 06:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 06:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 06:10
Bally Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 06:10
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.81%E -1.17%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.18%E -4.60%K -12.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-10 06:11
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -3.62%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.98%E -3.79%K -10.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-10 06:49
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.62%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 05:40
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.62%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 06:15
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.62%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 05:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.62%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 06:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.62%E -1.52%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 06:50
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -7.77%E -5.01%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-10 06:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -4.02%E -1.70%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -7.77%E -5.01%K -14.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-10 06:50
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-10 05:38
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.39%E -3.39%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 06:14
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.39%E -3.39%K -9.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-10 05:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 07:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 06:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -4.83%E -2.06%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -8.37%E -5.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-10 06:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -5.24%E -2.24%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -4.79%E -3.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 05:45
FanDuel🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.41%EV -6.05%E -2.61%K -4.58%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.59%EV -2.41%E -1.47%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-10 06:15
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.86%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.60%E -2.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 06:14
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.86%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.60%E -2.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-10 06:10
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.86%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.98%E -3.79%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 06:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.86%E -2.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.98%E -3.79%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-10 06:50
GTbets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -8.07%E -3.56%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 06:10
Betsson🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -8.48%E -3.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 06:13
NordicBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -8.48%E -3.75%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -4.20%E -2.61%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-10 06:15
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.60%E -2.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 05:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.60%E -2.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-10 05:35
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.79%E -3.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 06:15
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.79%E -3.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 07:25
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-10 06:10
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-10 05:41
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-10 06:10
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-10 06:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -8.88%E -3.95%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -8.96%E -5.86%K -16.91%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-10 07:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.67%EV -9.29%E -4.15%K -7.49%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.33%EV -4.79%E -3.00%K -7.99%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-10 06:15
Betclic (FR)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.73%EV -10.10%E -4.55%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.27%EV -5.39%E -3.39%K -9.14%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-10 06:34
Dabble (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.91%E -4.96%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -1.82%E -1.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 08:16
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.91%E -4.96%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -1.82%E -1.10%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 08:15
TAB🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.91%E -4.96%K -9.09%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -3.60%E -2.23%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-10 08:15
ReBet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.98%EV -12.12%E -5.59%K -10.36%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.02%EV -6.58%E -4.19%K -11.54%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-10 06:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.31%EV -14.96%E -7.12%K -13.60%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 57.69%EV -8.37%E -5.43%K -15.49%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-10 06:15
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.3%2026-08-10 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.3%2026-08-10 08:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.3%2026-08-10 08:41
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 39.90%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.10%2.7%2026-08-10 08:30
Novig2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%4.5%2026-08-10 08:30
Matchbook2.26I 44.25%NM 40.37%1.53I 65.36%NM 59.63%9.6%2026-08-10 06:55