Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Ann Li v Kayla Cross

2026-08-05 15:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Ann Li (Local)

Predicción 72.83%1.37momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -2.36%
Kelly -9.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.64%72.84%72.92%74.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.261.301.291.3379.37%77.21%77.52%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kayla Cross (Visitante)

Predicción 27.17%3.68momio equitativo
EV +1.88%
Ventaja +0.502%
Kelly +0.684%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.74%27.16%27.08%29.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.503.503.7532.26%28.57%28.57%26.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Ann Li (Local): 72.83%; Kayla Cross (Visitante): 27.17%. Para Kayla Cross (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 3.68. 2 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 3.75, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.88%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV +1.88%E +0.502%K +0.684%G +0.013%3.0%2026-08-04 14:10
Sky Bet1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV +1.88%E +0.502%K +0.684%G +0.013%3.6%2026-08-04 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.836%E -0.229%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:15
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.836%E -0.229%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:15
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.836%E -0.229%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:15
Casumo1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.836%E -0.229%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:15
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.836%E -0.229%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:15
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.836%E -0.229%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:15
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.836%E -0.229%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:15
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.836%E -0.229%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:15
Grosvenor1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.836%E -0.229%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:15
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.836%E -0.229%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:15
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.836%E -0.229%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:15
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.836%E -0.229%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:15
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.836%E -0.229%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:15
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -0.836%E -0.229%K -0.315%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 18:15
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.844%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 07:14
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:19
Paddy Power1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:15
Hard Rock Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.844%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 07:40
theScore Bet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -8.23%E -6.53%K -31.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -2.19%E -0.609%K -0.844%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 06:55
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 73.51%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.49%EV -2.74%E -0.765%K -1.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 02:40
DraftKings1.30I 76.92%NM 73.31%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.69%EV -3.01%E -0.843%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 19:15
BetAnything1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 16:15
PointsBet (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 07:25
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 07:19
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 07:19
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 07:20
William Hill1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 07:24
Dabble (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 21:30
Winamax (DE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 14:44
Fanatics1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 23:34
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 14:44
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 09:09
betfred_uk1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 23:20
Betr (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 07:25
PMU (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -8.23%E -6.53%K -31.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -4.91%E -1.40%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-04 18:15
1xBet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -3.86%E -2.93%K -12.07%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -5.45%E -1.57%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-04 19:20
Unibet (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 21:05
Betclic (FR)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:44
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 18:15
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 23:55
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -6.78%E -5.29%K -24.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -6.27%E -1.82%K -2.56%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 19:05
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -6.54%E -1.90%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 19:15
NordicBet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -6.81%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 14:45
Betsson1.29I 77.52%NM 72.67%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.33%EV -6.81%E -1.99%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 14:45
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.59%E -3.50%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 14:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:55
Coral1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 20:44
Caesars1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.63%E -2.24%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 13:43
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-04 07:25
Unibet (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 21:04
ReBet1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.05%E -4.69%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 18:05
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -6.78%E -5.29%K -24.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -10.34%E -3.13%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-04 21:10
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 19:18
betano_uk1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.32%E -4.09%K -17.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.70%E -3.60%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-04 19:15
Neds1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.36%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.13%E -2.36%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -13.06%E -4.08%K -5.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-04 15:00
Winamax (FR)1.26I 79.37%NM 71.10%EV -8.23%E -6.53%K -31.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -15.78%E -5.09%K -7.51%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-04 14:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%5.5%2026-08-05 00:05
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.89%9.9%2026-08-04 22:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%11.5%2026-08-04 22:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%11.5%2026-08-04 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 70.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%12.1%2026-08-04 21:50
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 51.53%1.35I 74.07%NM 48.47%52.8%2026-08-04 23:40