Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alina Korneeva v Emma Navarro

2026-08-05 18:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alina Korneeva (Local)

Predicción 46.07%2.17momio equitativo
EV +1.35%
Ventaja +0.613%
Kelly +1.12%
Crecimiento +0.015%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.44%45.92%46.09%47.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.992.092.082.2050.25%47.90%48.08%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Emma Navarro (Visitante)

Predicción 53.93%1.85momio equitativo
EV -2.92%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -3.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.00%54.08%53.91%56.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.651.731.731.8060.61%57.75%57.80%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alina Korneeva (Local): 46.07%; Emma Navarro (Visitante): 53.93%. Para Alina Korneeva (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.17. 15 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.20, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.35%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV +1.35%E +0.613%K +1.12%G +0.015%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -8.85%E -5.24%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 10:34
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.426%E +0.196%K +0.361%G +0.002%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.39%E -5.59%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:34
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.426%E +0.196%K +0.361%G +0.002%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.39%E -5.59%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:35
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.426%E +0.196%K +0.361%G +0.002%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.39%E -5.59%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:35
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.426%E +0.196%K +0.361%G +0.002%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.39%E -5.59%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:34
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.426%E +0.196%K +0.361%G +0.002%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.39%E -5.59%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:34
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.426%E +0.196%K +0.361%G +0.002%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.39%E -5.59%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:35
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.426%E +0.196%K +0.361%G +0.002%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.39%E -5.59%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:34
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.426%E +0.196%K +0.361%G +0.002%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.39%E -5.59%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:35
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.426%E +0.196%K +0.361%G +0.002%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.39%E -5.59%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:34
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.426%E +0.196%K +0.361%G +0.002%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.39%E -5.59%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:35
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.426%E +0.196%K +0.361%G +0.002%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.39%E -5.59%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:34
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.426%E +0.196%K +0.361%G +0.002%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.39%E -5.59%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:34
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.426%E +0.196%K +0.361%G +0.002%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.39%E -5.59%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:34
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +0.426%E +0.196%K +0.361%G +0.002%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -9.39%E -5.59%K -13.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 10:35
PMU (FR)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.54%EV -1.42%E -0.662%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.46%EV -11.01%E -6.67%K -16.94%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 10:34
Coolbet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -1.88%E -0.881%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -4.00%E -2.25%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 16:50
Pinnacle2.13I 46.95%NM 45.52%EV -1.88%E -0.881%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.48%EV -4.00%E -2.25%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 10:55
1xBet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.48%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.52%EV -5.08%E -2.89%K -6.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 16:00
GTbets2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -2.80%E -1.33%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -6.16%E -3.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-04 08:39
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.26%E -1.55%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.54%E -2.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 23:08
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.26%E -1.55%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:35
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.26%E -1.55%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.26%E -1.55%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:50
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.26%E -1.55%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 08:40
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.26%E -1.55%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:50
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.26%E -1.55%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 16:50
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -3.26%E -1.55%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.77%E -4.55%K -10.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 13:43
FanDuel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.18%E -2.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.54%E -2.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-04 14:10
SportsBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.18%E -2.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 19:05
Dabble (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.18%E -2.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 16:49
PointsBet (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.18%E -2.01%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -6.16%E -3.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-04 16:50
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.64%E -2.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.46%E -1.93%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 15:05
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -4.64%E -2.24%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -3.46%E -1.93%K -4.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-04 15:04
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.92%E -1.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 20:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.92%E -1.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 14:10
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.00%E -2.25%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 20:49
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.54%E -2.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 14:08
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 08:40
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 16:45
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.16%E -3.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 11:25
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 16:50
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.77%E -4.55%K -10.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 08:45
DraftKings2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%EV -6.48%E -3.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%EV -2.92%E -1.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:10
Unibet (UK)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -6.48%E -3.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.08%E -2.89%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:44
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -6.48%E -3.19%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -5.08%E -2.89%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 18:44
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.94%E -3.44%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.08%E -2.89%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:10
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.94%E -3.44%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.08%E -2.89%K -6.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-04 14:09
Neds2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.94%E -3.44%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -6.94%E -3.44%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 11:20
NetBet (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.94%E -3.44%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-04 11:59
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.70%EV -6.94%E -3.44%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.30%EV -8.31%E -4.89%K -11.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-04 22:30
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.54%E -2.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 23:10
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.54%E -2.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 23:14
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 14:09
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 14:10
betano_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 11:20
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-04 11:20
ReBet1.99I 50.25%NM 46.51%EV -8.33%E -4.18%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.49%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-04 15:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%1.2%2026-08-04 23:50
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%1.2%2026-08-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%1.2%2026-08-05 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%1.2%2026-08-05 00:05
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.6%2026-08-05 00:05
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%3.9%2026-08-04 23:50