Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexandra Eala v Belinda Bencic

2026-08-09 19:00 UTC — WTA Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

48%

52%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Predicción 47.62%2.10momio equitativo

EV -2.39%

Ventaja -1.16%

Kelly -2.27%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

45.91%47.69%47.62%49.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.901.971.962.0552.63%50.79%50.89%48.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Belinda Bencic (Visitante)

Predicción 52.38%1.91momio equitativo

EV -1.52%

Ventaja -0.808%

Kelly -1.73%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

50.26%52.31%52.38%54.09%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Distribución de los momios

1.731.801.801.8857.80%55.54%55.56%53.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alexandra Eala (Local): 47.62%; Belinda Bencic (Visitante): 52.38%. Para Belinda Bencic (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 1.91. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 1.88, con un valor esperado de -1.52%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
BetMGM🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.39%E -1.16%K -2.27%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.85%E -5.09%K -11.96%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-08 08:30
Coolbet🎯	2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.86%E -1.40%K -2.75%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.09%E -1.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-08 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -3.81%E -1.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -8.33%E -4.76%K -11.11%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-08 08:31
Neds🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -3.81%E -1.89%K -3.74%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -8.33%E -4.76%K -11.11%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-08 08:30
1xBet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -3.62%E -1.96%K -4.30%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-08-08 08:40
FanDuel🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -4.66%E -2.56%K -5.69%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-08 08:30
Betway🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.71%E -3.17%K -7.14%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 08:30
Sky Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.71%E -3.17%K -7.14%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 08:30
Fanatics🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.71%E -3.17%K -7.14%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 08:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.71%E -3.17%K -7.14%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 08:35
Paddy Power🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.71%E -3.17%K -7.14%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 08:30
betfred_uk🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.71%E -3.17%K -7.14%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 08:05
DraftKings🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.71%E -3.17%K -7.14%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 08:31
William Hill🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.71%E -3.17%K -7.14%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 07:49
888sport🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.71%E -3.17%K -7.14%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-08-08 07:51
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.38%E -5.42%K -12.85%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-08 08:35
Coral🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.77%E -2.38%K -4.77%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.38%E -5.42%K -12.85%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-08 08:30
Marathon Bet🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.72%E -2.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.66%E -2.56%K -5.69%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-08 08:35
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.72%E -2.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.66%E -2.56%K -5.69%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-08-08 08:34
Betr (AU)🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.72%E -2.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.71%E -3.17%K -7.14%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-08 08:35
PlayUp🎯	1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.72%E -2.89%K -5.84%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.71%E -3.17%K -7.14%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-08 08:40
Virgin Bet🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.19%E -3.14%K -6.39%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.14%E -2.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-08 07:51
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -6.19%E -3.14%K -6.39%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.14%E -2.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-08 07:50
NordicBet🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.19%E -3.14%K -6.39%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.71%E -3.17%K -7.14%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-08 08:30
Betsson🎯	1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -6.19%E -3.14%K -6.39%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -5.71%E -3.17%K -7.14%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-08 08:30
Grosvenor🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.67%E -3.40%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.14%E -2.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-08 07:51
Unibet🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.67%E -3.40%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.14%E -2.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-08 07:51
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.67%E -3.40%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.14%E -2.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-08 07:50
TABtouch🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.67%E -3.40%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.14%E -2.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-08 07:50
Casumo🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.67%E -3.40%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.14%E -2.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-08 07:51
BetRivers🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.67%E -3.40%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.14%E -2.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-08 07:50
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.67%E -3.40%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.14%E -2.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-08 07:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.67%E -3.40%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.14%E -2.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-08 07:50
Bally Bet🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.67%E -3.40%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.14%E -2.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-08 07:50
betPARX🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.67%E -3.40%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.14%E -2.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-08 07:50
ATG (SE)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.67%E -3.40%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.14%E -2.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-08 07:50
Svenska Spel🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -6.67%E -3.40%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -4.14%E -2.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-08 07:50
SportsBet🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.67%E -3.40%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.71%E -3.17%K -7.14%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-08 07:56
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.67%E -3.40%K -6.95%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.76%E -3.80%K -8.66%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-08 08:31
TAB🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.09%E -1.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-08 07:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.14%E -2.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-08 07:50
Dabble (AU)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.66%E -2.56%K -5.69%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-08 08:35
LeoVegas🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.33%E -4.76%K -11.11%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-08 08:35
Bet Victor🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.33%E -4.76%K -11.11%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-08 08:35
betano_uk🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.15%E -3.67%K -7.52%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.33%E -4.76%K -11.11%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-08 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.26%EV -8.10%E -4.20%K -8.71%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -5.71%E -3.17%K -7.14%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-08 07:50
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.92I 52.08%NM 47.83%EV -8.58%E -4.47%K -9.32%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 52.17%EV -7.81%E -4.44%K -10.27%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-08-08 08:30
theScore Bet🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.05%E -4.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.14%E -2.26%K -4.99%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-08 07:50
BoyleSports🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.05%E -4.74%K -9.95%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.71%E -3.17%K -7.14%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-08 08:05
GTbets🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -9.53%E -5.01%K -10.59%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -1.52%E -0.808%K -1.73%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-08 07:30
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.53%E -5.01%K -10.59%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.71%E -3.17%K -7.14%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-08 08:35
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.53%E -5.01%K -10.59%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.85%E -5.09%K -11.96%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-08-08 08:31
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.53%E -5.01%K -10.59%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.85%E -5.09%K -11.96%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-08-08 08:33
ReBet🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 47.80%EV -9.53%E -5.01%K -10.59%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 52.20%EV -8.85%E -5.09%K -11.96%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-08-08 08:30

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Novig◎	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%	6.0%	2026-08-08 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%	1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%	9.3%	2026-08-08 08:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%	1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%	9.3%	2026-08-08 08:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎	1.98I 50.51%NM 46.20%	1.70I 58.82%NM 53.80%	9.3%	2026-08-08 08:35
Smarkets◎	1.86I 53.76%NM 47.90%	1.71I 58.48%NM 52.10%	12.2%	2026-08-08 08:35