L’École des cotes

Xinyu Wang v Leylah Fernandez

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-23 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Xinyu Wang (Local)

Prévision 45.31%2.21cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -2.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%45.36%45.33%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.072.072.1450.00%48.24%48.31%46.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leylah Fernandez (Visiteur)

Prévision 54.69%1.83cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -0.866%
Kelly -1.95%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.05%54.64%54.67%55.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.741.741.8059.88%57.52%57.47%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -3.04%E -1.42%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -1.56%E -0.866%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-23 10:20
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.49%E -1.64%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.29%E -2.45%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 10:20
FanDuel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.94%E -1.86%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -4.84%E -2.78%K -6.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-23 04:39
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.20%E -1.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 20:39
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.75%E -2.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-23 04:39
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.29%E -2.45%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 19:20
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.29%E -2.45%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 05:19
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.29%E -2.45%K -5.72%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 10:20
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.84%E -2.78%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 10:20
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.84%E -2.78%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 10:20
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.84%E -2.78%K -6.54%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 04:19
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 04:39
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 04:19
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 10:20
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 20:40
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 19:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 20:29
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 10:20
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 10:20
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.39%E -3.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-23 10:20
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.93%E -3.45%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 20:29
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 10:20
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 16:20
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.85%E -2.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 20:28
PointsBet (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.39%E -3.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 10:20
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.39%E -3.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 04:39
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.39%E -3.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 04:39
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.53%EV -5.76%E -2.77%K -5.33%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.47%EV -8.67%E -5.19%K -12.94%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-23 10:20
Unibet (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.21%E -3.00%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.75%E -2.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 04:39
Unibet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.21%E -3.00%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.75%E -2.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 04:40
LeoVegas (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.21%E -3.00%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.75%E -2.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 04:39
Grosvenor2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.21%E -3.00%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.75%E -2.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 04:39
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.21%E -3.00%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.75%E -2.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 04:39
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.21%E -3.00%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.75%E -2.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 04:39
Unibet (NL)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.21%E -3.00%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.75%E -2.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 04:39
Casumo2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.21%E -3.00%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.75%E -2.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 04:39
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.21%E -3.00%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.75%E -2.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 04:39
Bally Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.21%E -3.00%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.75%E -2.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 04:40
Svenska Spel2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.21%E -3.00%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.75%E -2.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 04:39
betPARX2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.21%E -3.00%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.75%E -2.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 04:39
ATG (SE)2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.21%E -3.00%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.75%E -2.13%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-23 04:39
BetOnline.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.56%E -0.866%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 07:29
LowVig.ag2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -1.56%E -0.866%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 07:30
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.20%E -1.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 04:39
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.20%E -1.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 04:39
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.29%E -2.45%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-23 04:40
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.39%E -3.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-23 10:20
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.93%E -3.45%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-23 06:29
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 04:39
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.13%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 20:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.13%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 16:20
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.13%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.13%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 16:20
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.03%E -4.13%K -10.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 16:20
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.04%EV -7.11%E -3.47%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.96%EV -8.12%E -4.83%K -11.94%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 20:39
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.47%E -4.19%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.39%E -3.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 04:39
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -8.47%E -4.19%K -8.31%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -5.39%E -3.11%K -7.38%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-23 04:39
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.38%E -4.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.20%E -1.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-22 20:39
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.38%E -4.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.20%E -1.81%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 05:29
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -9.38%E -4.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.48%E -3.79%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-23 04:40
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -9.38%E -4.69%K -9.38%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.03%E -4.13%K -10.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-22 19:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-23 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-23 10:20
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-23 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-06-23 10:20
Novig2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%2.4%2026-06-23 10:20
Smarkets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%2.6%2026-06-23 10:20