L’École des cotes

Emma Navarro v Elena Gabriela Ruse

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-25 13:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Emma Navarro (Local)

Prévision 56.92%1.76cote équitable
EV -1.53%
Avantage -0.885%
Kelly -2.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%56.82%57.14%59.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.641.651.7363.69%60.84%60.61%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.08%2.32cote équitable
EV +2.53%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.84%
Croissance +0.047%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.05%43.18%42.86%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.222.252.3847.62%45.08%44.54%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -9.50%E -5.97%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV +2.53%E +1.07%K +1.84%G +0.047%4.9%2026-06-25 13:34
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.50%EV -3.24%E -1.91%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.50%EV -0.912%E -0.396%K -0.701%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-25 13:40
BetAnything1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.912%E -0.396%K -0.701%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-25 13:40
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.912%E -0.396%K -0.701%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-25 13:38
Bet Right1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.912%E -0.396%K -0.701%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 13:37
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -0.912%E -0.396%K -0.701%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-25 13:40
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 13:40
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 13:39
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 13:40
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 13:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 13:40
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 13:40
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 13:40
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 13:40
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 13:40
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 13:40
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 13:40
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 13:40
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -1.77%E -0.778%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-25 13:40
FanDuel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.52%E -3.32%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 13:40
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.81%E -2.25%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-25 13:40
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.81%E -2.25%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-25 13:39
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.38%E -2.61%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-25 13:39
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 13:39
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 13:40
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-25 13:37
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-25 13:39
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -8.36%E -5.19%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-25 13:40
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.93%E -5.58%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-25 13:40
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -8.93%E -5.58%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -3.07%E -1.36%K -2.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-25 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.29%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.71%EV -3.50%E -1.56%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-25 13:29
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-25 13:40
ReBet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.52%E -3.32%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-25 13:29
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.68%EV -10.64%E -6.78%K -18.66%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.32%EV -3.93%E -1.76%K -3.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-25 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 13:40
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 13:35
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.65%E -4.06%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-25 13:37
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.65%E -4.06%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-25 13:40
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.79%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-25 13:40
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.93%E -5.58%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 13:37
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.93%E -5.58%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 13:31
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.67%E -1.56%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 13:39
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.67%E -1.56%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 13:40
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.24%E -1.91%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-25 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-25 13:40
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-25 13:39
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-25 13:36
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-25 13:36
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-25 13:40
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-25 13:39
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-25 13:40
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-25 13:38
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -9.50%E -5.97%K -16.10%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-25 13:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -1.53%E -0.885%K -2.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-25 13:39
PointsBet (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.38%E -2.61%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-25 13:40
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 13:39
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 13:39
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 13:39
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-25 13:39
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -7.22%E -4.43%K -11.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -9.53%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-06-25 13:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-06-25 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-06-25 13:40
Matchbook1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-06-25 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-06-25 13:40
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.78%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.22%2.4%2026-06-25 13:40
Novig1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%3.0%2026-06-25 13:40