L’École des cotes

Elena Gabriela Ruse v Linda Noskova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-23 09:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elena Gabriela Ruse (Local)

Prévision 33.66%2.97cote équitable
EV +2.32%
Avantage +0.762%
Kelly +1.13%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 3.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.38%33.66%33.77%36.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.832.853.0438.46%35.32%35.09%32.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Linda Noskova (Visiteur)

Prévision 66.34%1.51cote équitable
EV -0.485%
Avantage -0.323%
Kelly -0.969%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
63.59%66.34%66.23%68.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.421.421.5073.53%70.39%70.42%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings3.04I 32.89%NM 31.38%EV +2.32%E +0.762%K +1.13%G +0.026%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.62%EV -7.78%E -5.60%K -19.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 05:09
FanDuel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV +0.969%E +0.323%K +0.485%G +0.005%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -6.46%E -4.58%K -15.75%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 05:59
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +0.969%E +0.323%K +0.485%G +0.005%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -7.12%E -5.08%K -17.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 15:50
SportsBet2.96I 33.78%NM 31.64%EV -0.377%E -0.127%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.36%EV -9.11%E -6.65%K -24.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 15:49
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.714%E -0.242%K -0.366%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.93%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-23 02:29
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -0.714%E -0.242%K -0.366%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -7.78%E -5.60%K -19.95%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 07:30
1xBet2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -1.39%E -0.473%K -0.719%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-23 06:00
LowVig.ag2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -2.06%E -0.708%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 04:20
BetOnline.ag2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -2.06%E -0.708%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-23 04:20
Hard Rock Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -2.40%E -0.826%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -5.79%E -4.08%K -13.79%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 19:09
TAB2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.40%E -0.826%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.45%E -6.12%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 19:09
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -2.40%E -0.826%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -8.45%E -6.12%K -22.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 16:40
Unibet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.07%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.79%E -4.08%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.07%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.79%E -4.08%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.07%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.79%E -4.08%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
Unibet (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.07%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.79%E -4.08%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
Unibet (NL)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.07%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.79%E -4.08%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
Grosvenor2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.07%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.79%E -4.08%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
BetRivers2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.07%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.79%E -4.08%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
Casumo2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.07%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.79%E -4.08%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
TABtouch2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.07%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.79%E -4.08%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
ATG (SE)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.07%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.79%E -4.08%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
Svenska Spel2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.07%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.79%E -4.08%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
Bally Bet2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.07%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.79%E -4.08%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:09
betPARX2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -3.07%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -5.79%E -4.08%K -13.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 19:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -3.07%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.12%E -5.08%K -17.80%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-22 15:50
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -3.07%E -1.07%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -9.77%E -7.19%K -27.15%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 15:49
Pinnacle2.87I 34.84%NM 33.87%EV -3.41%E -1.19%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.13%EV -2.47%E -1.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-23 06:40
Bovada2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.47%E -3.10%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-23 06:50
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-23 07:30
Tipico (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -4.08%E -1.43%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.11%E -6.65%K -24.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-23 06:50
Unibet (UK)2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -4.75%E -1.68%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -4.47%E -3.10%K -10.15%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 06:50
Dabble (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.47%E -3.10%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 19:10
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 06:49
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 06:49
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 06:58
BetMGM2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 18:09
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 06:49
ReBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 06:49
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-23 07:40
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.79%E -4.08%K -13.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-23 07:29
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.12%E -5.08%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 19:10
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.12%E -5.08%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 19:10
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -5.76%E -2.06%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -8.45%E -6.12%K -22.23%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 19:10
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.80%E -2.62%K -8.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-23 04:29
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.47%E -3.10%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:09
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.47%E -3.10%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:09
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.47%E -3.10%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-23 06:29
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.47%E -3.10%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:09
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.47%E -3.10%K -10.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 18:09
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.13%E -3.59%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-22 20:29
Bet Victor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.12%E -5.08%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 19:19
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.12%E -5.08%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 18:09
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.12%E -5.08%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-22 18:09
Everygame2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.12%E -5.08%K -17.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-23 04:29
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -7.45%E -2.71%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.43%EV -7.78%E -5.60%K -19.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-23 06:39
Winamax (DE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -0.485%E -0.323%K -0.969%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-23 06:50
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.79%E -4.08%K -13.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 18:09
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -9.13%E -3.38%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.79%E -4.08%K -13.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 18:09
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -11.82%E -4.51%K -7.30%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -0.485%E -0.323%K -0.969%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-23 06:50
Winamax (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -12.49%E -4.81%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -2.47%E -1.68%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-23 06:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-06-23 07:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-06-23 07:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-06-23 07:29
Matchbook2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-06-23 07:40
Novig2.99I 33.44%NM 32.96%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.04%1.5%2026-06-23 07:40
Smarkets2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.0%2026-06-23 07:30