L’École des cotes

Clara Tauson v Diana Shnaider

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-22 09:14 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Clara Tauson (Local)

Prévision 38.07%2.63cote équitable
EV +20.31%
Avantage +6.43%
Kelly +9.40%
Croissance +1.91%

avec la cote maximale 3.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.24%37.97%38.06%43.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.492.453.1646.51%40.22%40.82%31.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Diana Shnaider (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.93%1.61cote équitable
EV +4.66%
Avantage +2.75%
Kelly +6.75%
Croissance +0.314%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.56%62.03%61.94%69.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.371.511.501.6972.99%66.11%66.67%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV +20.31%E +6.43%K +9.40%G +1.91%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -15.16%E -11.07%K -40.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-22 08:59
BetOnline.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV +8.13%E +2.86%K +4.42%G +0.359%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 09:09
LowVig.ag2.84I 35.21%NM 33.80%EV +8.13%E +2.86%K +4.42%G +0.359%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.20%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 09:09
Dabble (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +6.61%E +2.36%K +3.67%G +0.242%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.60%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 09:09
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +6.61%E +2.36%K +3.67%G +0.242%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -13.30%E -9.50%K -33.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 09:09
ReBet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV +4.70%E +1.71%K +2.69%G +0.126%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -9.59%E -6.57%K -20.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 08:59
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +4.70%E +1.71%K +2.69%G +0.126%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.21%E -7.04%K -22.68%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 08:59
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +4.70%E +1.71%K +2.69%G +0.126%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 08:59
BetAnything2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%EV +0.895%E +0.338%K +0.543%G +0.005%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 08:59
Unibet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.895%E +0.338%K +0.543%G +0.005%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.35%E -5.64%K -17.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 08:59
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV +0.895%E +0.338%K +0.543%G +0.005%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -8.35%E -5.64%K -17.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 09:04
Betr (AU)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV +0.895%E +0.338%K +0.543%G +0.005%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -8.97%E -6.10%K -19.08%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 09:05
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.247%E -0.094%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 09:00
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -0.247%E -0.094%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 09:09
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -0.247%E -0.094%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 09:09
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -0.247%E -0.094%K -0.152%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-22 09:09
BetUS2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -1.01%E -0.388%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 08:59
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -1.01%E -0.388%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 09:10
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.01%E -0.388%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 09:10
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -1.01%E -0.388%K -0.630%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -10.83%E -7.52%K -24.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-22 08:58
Pinnacle2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -1.39%E -0.536%K -0.874%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-22 09:10
SportsBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -1.77%E -0.686%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.70%EV -8.97%E -6.10%K -19.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-22 09:09
DraftKings2.53I 39.53%NM 37.38%EV -3.67%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.62%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 09:09
Hard Rock Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-22 09:09
BetMGM2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.82%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 09:09
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 09:09
ATG (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 09:10
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 09:05
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 09:04
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -8.35%E -5.64%K -17.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-22 09:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -8.35%E -5.64%K -17.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-22 09:10
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.66%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.34%EV -8.35%E -5.64%K -17.39%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-22 09:04
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -7.48%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-22 09:10
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -7.48%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 09:09
Unibet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 09:10
Casumo2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 09:09
Unibet (NL)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 09:09
Unibet (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 09:09
Svenska Spel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 09:09
betPARX2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 09:09
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-22 09:09
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-22 09:09
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-22 09:09
Fliff2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.35%E -5.64%K -17.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-22 09:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-22 09:10
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-22 09:09
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-22 09:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-22 09:10
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 09:09
BetRivers2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 09:09
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 09:09
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.01%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 09:09
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-22 08:59
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-22 09:10
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.53%E -4.48%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-22 09:09
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -14.33%E -6.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -0.918%E -0.574%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 09:10
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -14.33%E -6.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-22 09:10
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -14.33%E -6.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-22 09:09
PMU (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.84%EV -14.33%E -6.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.16%EV -7.73%E -5.19%K -15.78%G +0.000%11.6%2026-06-22 09:09
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -14.33%E -6.37%K -11.47%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -8.35%E -5.64%K -17.39%G +0.000%12.0%2026-06-22 09:09
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -16.24%E -7.38%K -13.53%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV +4.66%E +2.75%K +6.75%G +0.314%4.6%2026-06-22 09:10
LeoVegas2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -17.00%E -7.80%K -14.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.67%EV -0.918%E -0.574%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-22 09:10
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -18.14%E -8.44%K -15.78%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV +2.18%E +1.32%K +3.35%G +0.073%7.1%2026-06-22 09:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.74%1.58I 63.29%NM 63.26%0.1%2026-06-22 09:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-06-22 09:10
Matchbook2.54I 39.37%NM 38.94%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.06%1.1%2026-06-22 09:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.13%1.62I 61.73%NM 60.87%1.4%2026-06-22 09:10
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.4%2026-06-22 09:10
Novig2.33I 42.92%NM 40.56%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.44%5.8%2026-06-22 09:10