La scuola delle quote

Vit Kopriva v Jan Choinski

Inizio: 2026-06-30 17:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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32 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Vit Kopriva (Casa)

Previsione 57.40%1.74quota equa
EV -1.28%
Vantaggio -0.744%
Kelly -1.78%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.41%57.75%57.27%60.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.571.651.651.7263.69%60.65%60.61%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jan Choinski (Trasferta)

Previsione 42.60%2.35quota equa
EV +0.548%
Vantaggio +0.232%
Kelly +0.403%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.95%42.25%42.73%43.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.152.242.202.3646.51%44.71%45.45%42.37%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -9.89%E -6.30%K -17.35%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV +0.548%E +0.232%K +0.403%G +0.002%6.1%2026-06-30 16:40
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -1.16%E -0.499%K -0.876%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 16:40
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.34%EV -8.74%E -5.50%K -14.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -1.16%E -0.499%K -0.876%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:36
MyBookie.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -1.58%E -0.685%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-30 16:36
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -2.01%E -0.873%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-30 16:49
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.01%E -0.873%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 16:39
SportsBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.01%E -0.873%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 16:39
GTbets1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.17%E -5.10%K -13.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -2.01%E -0.873%K -1.55%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 16:39
1xBet1.72I 58.14%NM 57.11%EV -1.28%E -0.744%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.89%EV -2.43%E -1.06%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.8%2026-06-30 16:40
Pinnacle1.70I 58.82%NM 57.07%EV -2.43%E -1.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.93%EV -3.71%E -1.64%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 16:39
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.15%E -2.49%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 16:38
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 16:50
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 16:39
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.02%E -4.33%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.14%E -1.84%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 16:35
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.11%EV -4.72%E -2.85%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.89%EV -5.84%E -2.64%K -4.83%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 16:40
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.43%E -1.43%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-30 16:49
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.15%E -2.49%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.15%E -2.49%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:40
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.15%E -2.49%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:40
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.15%E -2.49%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:39
BetUS1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.15%E -2.49%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:39
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.15%E -2.49%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:40
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.15%E -2.49%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:39
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.15%E -2.49%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 16:39
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 16:40
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 16:40
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 16:50
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 16:39
Dabble (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.87%E -3.58%K -9.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-30 16:40
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -6.45%E -3.95%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -6.27%E -2.85%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 16:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.40%E -3.91%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 16:39
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.30%E -3.21%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.40%E -3.91%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 16:39
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-06-30 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-30 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-30 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-30 16:50
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.44%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.56%0.7%2026-06-30 16:50
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-06-30 16:50
Novig1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%2.5%2026-06-30 16:39