L’École des cotes

Tallon Griekspoor v James Duckworth

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-30 15:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tallon Griekspoor (Local)

Prévision 65.58%1.52cote équitable
EV -0.967%
Avantage -0.641%
Kelly -1.90%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.51

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.36%65.73%65.60%68.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.441.441.5172.46%69.43%69.44%66.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

James Duckworth (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.42%2.91cote équitable
EV +3.25%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.62%
Croissance +0.053%

avec la cote maximale 3.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.82%34.27%34.40%35.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.772.753.0038.46%36.11%36.30%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -8.18%E -5.84%K -20.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV +3.25%E +1.08%K +1.62%G +0.053%4.8%2026-06-30 15:30
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.18%E -5.84%K -20.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.195%E -0.067%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.18%E -5.84%K -20.45%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.195%E -0.067%K -0.103%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-30 15:30
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.49%E -6.88%K -24.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.195%E -0.067%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-30 15:29
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.82%EV -2.94%E -1.98%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.18%EV -1.92%E -0.672%K -1.04%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-30 15:30
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -3.59%E -2.44%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -1.92%E -0.672%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-30 15:29
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.59%E -2.44%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 15:30
Winamax (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.59%E -2.44%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-30 15:29
Codere (IT)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 15:29
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-30 15:29
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-30 15:29
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-30 15:30
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.35%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:29
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.35%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:29
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.35%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:29
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.35%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:29
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.35%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.35%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:30
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.35%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:29
Grosvenor1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.35%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:29
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.35%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:29
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.35%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:29
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.35%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:29
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.35%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:29
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.21%E -4.35%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-30 15:29
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:30
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:29
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.64%E -1.30%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-30 15:29
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 64.88%EV -0.967%E -0.641%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 35.12%EV -3.98%E -1.43%K -2.22%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-30 15:29
SportsBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.32%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-30 15:29
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97%NM 65.64%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.36%EV -4.67%E -1.69%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 15:29
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 66.03%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.97%EV -5.01%E -1.82%K -2.85%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-30 15:29
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.59%E -2.44%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 15:28
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.59%E -2.44%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 15:30
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.59%E -2.44%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-30 15:30
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:29
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-30 15:29
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:29
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:29
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:29
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:29
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:29
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:30
Unibet (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:29
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:29
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:29
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-30 15:29
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.21%E -4.35%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:29
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.21%E -4.35%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:29
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.21%E -4.35%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-30 15:30
Dabble (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.87%E -4.84%K -16.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.36%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-30 15:30
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -6.39%E -2.35%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 15:29
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -6.39%E -2.35%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-30 15:30
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-30 15:29
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:30
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:29
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:29
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:29
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.90%E -3.38%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 15:29
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.21%E -4.35%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.08%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-30 15:30
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -4.25%E -2.91%K -9.23%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -7.42%E -2.76%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-30 15:30
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.83%E -3.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.83%E -3.75%K -6.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-30 15:29
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.56%E -3.86%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.52%E -4.05%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-30 15:21
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-06-30 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-06-30 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%0.5%2026-06-30 15:30
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-06-30 15:30
ProphetX1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-06-30 15:30
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-06-30 15:30
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.59%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.41%2.3%2026-06-30 15:30