L’École des cotes

Soonwoo Kwon v Martin Landaluce

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-29 14:21 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Soonwoo Kwon (Local)

Prévision 38.94%2.57cote équitable
EV +2.41%
Avantage +0.917%
Kelly +1.48%
Croissance +0.036%

avec la cote maximale 2.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.38%39.29%38.96%45.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.022.312.352.6349.50%43.26%42.55%38.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Martin Landaluce (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.06%1.64cote équitable
EV +5.02%
Avantage +2.92%
Kelly +6.98%
Croissance +0.351%

avec la cote maximale 1.72

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.67%60.71%61.04%64.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.591.601.7269.44%62.81%62.50%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -19.01%E -9.14%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV +5.02%E +2.92%K +6.98%G +0.351%6.2%2026-06-29 14:20
Casumo2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -19.01%E -9.14%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV +5.02%E +2.92%K +6.98%G +0.351%6.2%2026-06-29 14:21
Unibet (NL)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -19.01%E -9.14%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV +5.02%E +2.92%K +6.98%G +0.351%6.2%2026-06-29 14:20
Unibet (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -19.01%E -9.14%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV +5.02%E +2.92%K +6.98%G +0.351%6.2%2026-06-29 14:21
betPARX2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -19.01%E -9.14%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV +5.02%E +2.92%K +6.98%G +0.351%6.2%2026-06-29 14:19
Svenska Spel2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -19.01%E -9.14%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV +5.02%E +2.92%K +6.98%G +0.351%6.2%2026-06-29 14:20
ATG (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -19.01%E -9.14%K -17.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV +5.02%E +2.92%K +6.98%G +0.351%6.2%2026-06-29 14:21
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -14.33%E -6.51%K -11.94%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV +3.80%E +2.24%K +5.43%G +0.207%4.3%2026-06-29 14:19
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -19.78%E -9.60%K -18.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV +3.80%E +2.24%K +5.43%G +0.207%7.4%2026-06-29 14:20
PMU (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -19.78%E -9.60%K -18.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV +3.80%E +2.24%K +5.43%G +0.207%7.4%2026-06-29 14:21
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 45.21%EV -19.78%E -9.60%K -18.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV +3.80%E +2.24%K +5.43%G +0.207%7.4%2026-06-29 14:20
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -20.17%E -9.84%K -19.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV +3.80%E +2.24%K +5.43%G +0.207%7.6%2026-06-29 14:20
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -20.17%E -9.84%K -19.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV +3.80%E +2.24%K +5.43%G +0.207%7.6%2026-06-29 14:20
Bally Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -20.17%E -9.84%K -19.21%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV +3.80%E +2.24%K +5.43%G +0.207%7.6%2026-06-29 14:20
1xBet2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV -7.32%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV +1.97%E +1.18%K +2.94%G +0.058%1.9%2026-06-29 13:59
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -14.33%E -6.51%K -11.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV +1.97%E +1.18%K +2.94%G +0.058%5.3%2026-06-29 14:13
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 45.26%EV -21.34%E -10.57%K -20.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 54.74%EV +1.97%E +1.18%K +2.94%G +0.058%9.4%2026-06-29 14:21
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -13.16%E -5.90%K -10.70%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV +1.36%E +0.819%K +2.06%G +0.028%5.1%2026-06-29 14:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.11%EV -21.34%E -10.57%K -20.92%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.89%EV +1.36%E +0.819%K +2.06%G +0.028%9.7%2026-06-29 14:20
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -0.472%E -0.289%K -0.749%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-29 14:10
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -12.39%E -5.50%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -0.472%E -0.289%K -0.749%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-29 14:15
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -14.33%E -6.51%K -11.94%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -0.472%E -0.289%K -0.749%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-29 14:20
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.08%E -0.668%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:20
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -1.08%E -0.668%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:00
Dabble (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -12.39%E -5.50%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.08%E -0.668%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:15
BetAnything2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -1.69%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-29 14:10
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -14.33%E -6.51%K -11.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -1.69%E -1.05%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:17
Codere (IT)2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -6.16%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 14:04
ReBet2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -6.16%E -2.55%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-29 14:03
MyBookie.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-29 14:10
SportsBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -8.88%E -3.80%K -6.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-29 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -12.39%E -5.50%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -2.30%E -1.44%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-29 14:21
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.91%E -1.83%K -4.94%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-29 14:19
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.32%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 14:10
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.32%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-29 14:10
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:12
Unibet (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.14%E -2.63%K -7.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:04
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.75%E -3.04%K -8.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-29 14:21
Coolbet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-29 14:20
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:11
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.60%E -1.88%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-29 14:10
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-29 14:10
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.36%E -3.46%K -9.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-29 14:21
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -5.97%E -3.87%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-29 14:20
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.97%E -3.87%K -11.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 14:20
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-29 14:20
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.32%E -3.08%K -5.31%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.41%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-29 14:19
NetBet (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -7.71%E -3.25%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -6.58%E -4.30%K -12.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:00
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.54%E -2.73%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -7.19%E -4.73%K -13.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 14:20
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.44%E -4.54%K -8.03%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -7.80%E -5.16%K -15.29%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 14:20
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.41%E -5.61%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:20
Caesars2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.41%E -5.61%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:20
theScore Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.65%E -1.06%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.41%E -5.61%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-29 14:21
Betclic (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.41%E -5.61%K -16.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-29 14:19
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV +1.24%E +0.478%K +0.777%G +0.010%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -9.02%E -6.05%K -18.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-29 14:20
NordicBet2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -9.02%E -6.05%K -18.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 14:20
Betsson2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -9.02%E -6.05%K -18.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-29 14:20
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -8.49%E -3.61%K -6.29%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -9.02%E -6.05%K -18.41%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-29 14:20
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.52%EV -12.39%E -5.50%K -9.91%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.48%EV -10.24%E -6.97%K -21.79%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-29 14:20
Sky Bet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV +2.41%E +0.917%K +1.48%G +0.036%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -12.07%E -8.38%K -27.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-29 14:20
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +2.02%E +0.772%K +1.25%G +0.025%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -12.07%E -8.38%K -27.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:20
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +2.02%E +0.772%K +1.25%G +0.025%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -12.07%E -8.38%K -27.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:20
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +2.02%E +0.772%K +1.25%G +0.025%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -12.07%E -8.38%K -27.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-29 14:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.60%1.57I 63.69%NM 63.40%0.5%2026-06-29 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.55%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.45%0.5%2026-06-29 14:20
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-29 14:21
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.1%2026-06-29 14:21
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%4.2%2026-06-29 14:20
Novig2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%5.6%2026-06-29 14:20
ProphetX2.66I 37.59%NM 35.12%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.88%7.0%2026-06-29 14:21