La scuola delle quote

Roman Safiullin v Botic van de Zandschulp

Inizio: 2026-07-01 13:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Roman Safiullin (Casa)

Previsione 59.45%1.68quota equa
EV +2.26%
Vantaggio +1.31%
Kelly +3.13%
Crescita +0.071%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.62%59.41%59.57%62.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.611.601.7264.52%62.29%62.31%58.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Botic van de Zandschulp (Trasferta)

Previsione 40.55%2.47quota equa
EV +3.40%
Vantaggio +1.33%
Kelly +2.19%
Crescita +0.075%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.80%40.59%40.43%45.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.072.322.302.5548.31%43.12%43.48%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -7.85%E -5.06%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV +3.40%E +1.33%K +2.19%G +0.075%3.7%2026-07-01 12:50
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%EV -0.250%E -0.102%K -0.171%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-01 12:50
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -0.250%E -0.102%K -0.171%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-01 12:50
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -2.50%E -1.52%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -1.47%E -0.604%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-01 12:50
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -1.87%E -0.774%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-01 12:50
Codere (IT)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -2.28%E -0.945%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 12:50
ReBet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -2.28%E -0.945%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-01 12:49
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.68%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 12:50
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -2.68%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-01 12:48
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -2.68%E -1.12%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 12:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -3.49%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-01 12:48
MyBookie.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.47%E -3.44%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.49%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-01 12:49
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.49%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:50
betfred_uk1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.49%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:49
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.49%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:50
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.49%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:50
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.49%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:50
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.49%E -1.47%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 12:50
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.71%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 12:49
BetAnything1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.71%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-01 12:50
TAB1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.71%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 12:50
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.47%E -3.44%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.71%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 12:50
Winamax (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.07%E -3.84%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.71%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 12:49
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.07%E -3.84%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.71%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 12:50
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.71%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:50
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.71%E -2.00%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:50
NetBet (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.95%EV -7.85%E -5.06%K -14.27%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.05%EV -5.93%E -2.55%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 12:50
GTbets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.04%EV -0.716%E -0.429%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.96%EV -6.33%E -2.74%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-01 12:50
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -1.91%E -1.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-01 12:50
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 12:50
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 12:50
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 12:50
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.47%E -3.44%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 12:50
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.47%E -3.44%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 12:49
Dabble (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.07%E -3.84%K -10.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.74%E -2.93%K -5.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-01 12:50
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.55%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:50
Unibet (NL)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.55%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:50
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.55%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:50
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.55%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:50
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.55%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:50
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.55%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.55%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:50
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.55%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:50
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.55%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:50
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.55%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:50
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.55%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:50
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.55%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:50
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -7.55%E -3.31%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-01 12:50
Betsson1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.60%EV -8.36%E -3.70%K -6.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 12:50
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.50%E -1.52%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.77%E -3.90%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -2.50%E -1.52%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -8.77%E -3.90%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 12:50
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.69%E -2.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.77%E -3.90%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 12:50
LiveScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.28%E -2.66%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -8.77%E -3.90%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 12:50
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.77%E -3.90%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 12:50
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.66%E -4.24%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.77%E -3.90%K -7.01%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 12:45
Unibet (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -1.91%E -1.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -10.79%E -4.91%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.79%E -4.91%K -8.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 12:50
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -4.88%E -3.05%K -8.13%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.79%E -4.91%K -8.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 12:50
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -0.716%E -0.429%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -11.60%E -5.32%K -9.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 12:50
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.62%EV +2.26%E +1.31%K +3.13%G +0.071%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.38%EV -16.06%E -7.76%K -15.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 12:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-07-01 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-01 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-01 12:50
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-01 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-07-01 12:50
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%2.1%2026-07-01 12:50
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%2.3%2026-07-01 12:50