Adam Walton v Dino Prizmic

Inicio: 2026-06-29 14:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

44%

56%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Adam Walton (Local)

Predicción 44.06%2.27momio equitativo

EV -1.76%

Ventaja -0.788%

Kelly -1.43%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

43.08%44.01%44.14%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

2.082.142.142.2348.08%46.71%46.73%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Dino Prizmic (Visitante)

Predicción 55.94%1.79momio equitativo

EV -2.10%

Ventaja -1.20%

Kelly -2.80%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

54.55%55.99%55.86%56.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.651.701.711.7560.61%58.83%58.48%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
1xBet	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -1.76%E -0.788%K -1.43%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -2.10%E -1.20%K -2.80%G +0.000%	2.0%	2026-06-29 13:40
Pinnacle	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -1.76%E -0.788%K -1.43%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.77%E -2.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-06-29 13:51
Betclic (FR)	2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -1.76%E -0.788%K -1.43%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -5.45%E -3.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-06-29 13:20
Coolbet	2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -2.66%E -1.53%K -3.59%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-06-29 13:50
Betway	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-29 13:19
Winamax (DE)	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-29 13:20
William Hill	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-29 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-29 13:20
Neds	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-29 13:21
betfred_uk	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-29 13:20
Caesars	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.08%E -1.40%K -2.57%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-29 13:20
BetMGM	2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -3.96%E -1.82%K -3.36%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.83%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-29 13:19
Unibet (UK)	2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -4.40%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-29 13:21
NetBet (FR)	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -4.40%E -2.03%K -3.76%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.83%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-29 13:30
Codere (IT)	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.84%E -2.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-29 13:20
ReBet	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -4.84%E -2.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-29 13:20
FanDuel	2.16I 46.30%NM 44.19%EV -4.84%E -2.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.81%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-29 13:20
Marathon Bet	2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.84%E -2.24%K -4.17%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.45%E -3.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-06-29 13:29
BoyleSports	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-29 13:20
Fanatics	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-29 13:21
Bovada	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-29 13:43
theScore Bet	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-29 13:21
SportsBet	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-29 13:20
Betr (AU)	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.45%E -3.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-29 13:50
BetUS	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.45%E -3.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-06-29 13:20
PointsBet (AU)	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.84%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-29 13:20
Winamax (FR)	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.84%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-29 13:20
Tipico (DE)	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-29 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.83%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-29 13:20
Coral	2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.28%E -2.46%K -4.59%G +0.000%	1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.69%E -4.66%K -11.83%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-29 13:21
MyBookie.ag	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-29 13:19
DraftKings	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -5.72%E -2.67%K -5.02%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -5.45%E -3.23%K -7.90%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-29 13:21
BetRivers	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-29 13:20
Unibet	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-29 13:30
Unibet (NL)	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-29 13:30
TABtouch	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-29 13:30
Casumo	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-29 13:30
LeoVegas	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-29 13:30
Grosvenor	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-29 13:30
Unibet (SE)	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-29 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-29 13:30
Bally Bet	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-29 13:30
betPARX	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-29 13:30
ATG (SE)	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-29 13:30
Svenska Spel	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -6.60%E -3.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-29 13:30
NordicBet	2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -7.04%E -3.34%K -6.35%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-29 13:20
Betsson	2.11I 47.39%NM 44.62%EV -7.04%E -3.34%K -6.35%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.38%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-29 13:20
TAB	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -2.10%E -1.20%K -2.80%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-06-29 13:50
888sport	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 13:40
Mr Green (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 13:40
888sport (SE)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.22%E -1.86%K -4.40%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-29 13:40
Unibet (FR)	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.77%E -2.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 13:20
PlayUp	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -3.77%E -2.19%K -5.24%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-29 13:50
BetAnything	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-29 13:50
Hard Rock Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.33%E -2.53%K -6.10%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-29 13:20
Everygame	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-29 13:20
Dabble (AU)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.89%E -2.88%K -6.99%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-06-29 13:21
PMU (FR)	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.84%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-29 13:30
Bet Victor	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-29 13:19
Paddy Power	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-29 13:20
Sky Bet	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.48%E -3.56%K -6.80%G +0.000%	1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.57%E -3.94%K -9.81%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-29 13:20
Virgin Bet	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.84%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-29 13:20
LiveScore Bet	2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -8.37%E -4.02%K -7.75%G +0.000%	1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -6.01%E -3.58%K -8.84%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-29 13:21

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)	2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%	0.5%	2026-06-29 13:51
ProphetX	2.27I 44.05%NM 43.81%	1.77I 56.50%NM 56.19%	0.6%	2026-06-29 13:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)	2.30I 43.48%NM 43.07%	1.74I 57.47%NM 56.93%	0.9%	2026-06-29 13:40
Novig	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%	1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%	1.5%	2026-06-29 13:50
Matchbook	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%	1.8%	2026-06-29 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)	2.24I 44.64%NM 43.86%	1.75I 57.14%NM 56.14%	1.8%	2026-06-29 13:51
Smarkets	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.22%	1.76I 56.82%NM 55.78%	1.9%	2026-06-29 13:51