Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex de Minaur v Cruz Hewitt

Início: 2026-07-30 17:45 UTC

Final: Alex de Minaur 2–0 Cruz Hewitt

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex de Minaur (Local)

Previsão 88.33%1.13odd justa
EV -1.07%
Vantagem -0.959%
Kelly -8.95%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
85.55%88.26%88.20%90.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.041.071.071.1296.15%93.40%93.46%89.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cruz Hewitt (Visitante)

Previsão 11.67%8.57odd justa
EV +13.23%
Vantagem +1.36%
Kelly +1.52%
Crescimento +0.201%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.85%11.74%11.80%14.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.508.128.009.7015.38%12.31%12.50%10.31%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alex de Minaur (Local): 88.33%; Cruz Hewitt (Visitante): 11.67%. Para Cruz Hewitt (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.57. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 9.70, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +13.23%.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Unibet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.15%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.85%EV +13.23%E +1.36%K +1.52%G +0.201%4.6%2026-07-30 16:44
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.78%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.44%G +0.000%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.22%EV +9.73%E +1.04%K +1.16%G +0.113%4.1%2026-07-30 17:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.63%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.44%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.37%EV +7.98%E +0.863%K +0.967%G +0.077%4.3%2026-07-30 16:45
BetUS🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV +5.06%E +0.562%K +0.633%G +0.032%5.5%2026-07-30 13:20
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.93%EV -3.72%E -3.42%K -41.38%G +0.000%8.76I 11.42%NM 11.07%EV +2.26%E +0.258%K +0.291%G +0.007%3.2%2026-07-30 17:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.38%EV -8.14%E -7.83%K -203.51%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.62%EV +2.14%E +0.245%K +0.277%G +0.006%7.6%2026-07-30 16:45
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -4.61%E -4.27%K -57.59%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +1.56%E +0.179%K +0.203%G +0.003%4.1%2026-07-30 16:44
BetAnything🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.44%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV +1.56%E +0.179%K +0.203%G +0.003%5.0%2026-07-30 14:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.61%E -4.27%K -57.59%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -0.307%E -0.036%K -0.041%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 17:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.77%EV -4.61%E -4.27%K -57.59%G +0.000%8.54I 11.71%NM 11.23%EV -0.307%E -0.036%K -0.041%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-30 17:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.63%EV -3.72%E -3.42%K -41.38%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.37%EV -0.774%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-30 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -4.61%E -4.27%K -57.59%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -0.774%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.774%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 17:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.774%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.774%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 13:15
BetRivers🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.774%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 13:15
Grosvenor🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.774%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.774%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 13:15
Casumo🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.774%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 13:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.774%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 13:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.774%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.774%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 13:15
Bally Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.774%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 13:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.774%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 13:15
betPARX🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.774%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 13:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -0.774%E -0.091%K -0.103%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-30 13:15
ReBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.44%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV -1.94%E -0.231%K -0.262%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-30 16:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.61%E -4.27%K -57.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.61%E -0.826%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 13:20
Bovada🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.61%E -4.27%K -57.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.61%E -0.826%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 17:15
Bet Right🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.61%E -4.27%K -57.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -6.61%E -0.826%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-30 17:00
NordicBet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.61%E -0.826%K -0.944%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 16:45
Betsson🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.61%E -0.826%K -0.944%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 16:44
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.61%E -0.826%K -0.944%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.61%E -0.826%K -0.944%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 09:19
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.44%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -6.61%E -0.826%K -0.944%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-30 16:45
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.61%E -0.826%K -0.944%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 17:15
Sky Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.61%E -0.826%K -0.944%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 17:14
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.61%E -0.826%K -0.944%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 17:15
TAB🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -6.61%E -0.826%K -0.944%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 17:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.26%E -6.91%K -145.15%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -6.61%E -0.826%K -0.944%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-30 13:15
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.24%EV -6.37%E -6.01%K -106.23%G +0.000%7.95I 12.58%NM 11.76%EV -7.19%E -0.905%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-30 17:20
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.61%E -4.27%K -57.59%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -9.53%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 16:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -4.61%E -4.27%K -57.59%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV -9.53%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-30 17:20
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.44%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV -9.53%E -1.23%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 09:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.61%E -4.27%K -57.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 17:05
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.61%E -4.27%K -57.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 16:59
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.61%E -4.27%K -57.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 16:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.61%E -4.27%K -57.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 17:19
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.61%E -4.27%K -57.59%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-30 17:20
betfred_uk🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 16:58
Caesars🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.49%E -5.13%K -78.44%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.45%E -1.66%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-30 05:50
DraftKings🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -2.84%E -2.58%K -28.41%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV -13.62%E -1.84%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 17:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.61%E -4.27%K -57.59%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -15.37%E -2.12%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 09:15
Neds🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -4.61%E -4.27%K -57.59%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -15.37%E -2.12%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-30 09:15
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.55%EV -1.07%E -0.959%K -8.95%G +0.000%6.63I 15.08%NM 14.45%EV -22.60%E -3.41%K -4.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-30 17:16
betano_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.61%E -4.27%K -57.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -24.12%E -3.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 16:03
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -4.61%E -4.27%K -57.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -24.12%E -3.71%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-30 16:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-07-30 17:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-07-30 17:25
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-07-30 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%0.5%2026-07-30 17:20
ProphetX1.11I 90.09%NM 89.13%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.87%1.1%2026-07-30 17:20
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 89.29%9.09I 11.00%NM 10.71%2.7%2026-07-30 17:25
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 89.20%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%2.9%2026-07-30 17:25