Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Taylor Fritz v Darwin Blanch

Início: 2026-09-01 17:40 UTC

Final: Taylor Fritz 3–0 Darwin Blanch

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Taylor Fritz (Local)

Previsão 93.66%1.07odd justa
EV -3.53%
Vantagem -3.43%
Kelly -117.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.03

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
91.78%93.60%93.63%95.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.011.021.021.0399.01%98.04%98.04%97.09%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Darwin Blanch (Visitante)

Previsão 6.34%15.77odd justa
EV +33.18%
Vantagem +1.58%
Kelly +1.66%
Crescimento +0.551%

pressupondo odds máximas de 21.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
4.68%6.40%6.37%8.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
11.5015.2615.0021.008.70%6.55%6.67%4.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Taylor Fritz (Local): 93.66%; Darwin Blanch (Visitante): 6.34%. Para Darwin Blanch (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 15.77. 11 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 21.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +33.18%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Sky Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 95.32%EV -3.53%E -3.43%K -117.74%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.68%EV +33.18%E +1.58%K +1.66%G +0.551%1.8%2026-09-01 14:40
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +26.84%E +1.34%K +1.41%G +0.379%3.0%2026-09-01 14:40
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +20.50%E +1.08%K +1.14%G +0.233%3.3%2026-09-01 11:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +20.50%E +1.08%K +1.14%G +0.233%3.3%2026-09-01 11:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +20.50%E +1.08%K +1.14%G +0.233%3.3%2026-09-01 11:40
SportsBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -5.41%E -5.35%K -540.54%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +20.50%E +1.08%K +1.14%G +0.233%4.3%2026-09-01 14:40
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.44%EV -3.53%E -3.43%K -117.74%G +0.000%17.51I 5.71%NM 5.56%EV +11.05%E +0.631%K +0.669%G +0.074%2.8%2026-09-01 17:35
PlayUp🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.53%E -3.43%K -117.74%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +7.81%E +0.460%K +0.488%G +0.038%3.0%2026-09-01 16:45
Coolbet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.53%E -3.43%K -117.74%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +7.81%E +0.460%K +0.488%G +0.038%3.0%2026-09-01 17:39
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +7.81%E +0.460%K +0.488%G +0.038%3.9%2026-09-01 14:40
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.14%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%16.40I 6.10%NM 5.86%EV +4.01%E +0.244%K +0.260%G +0.010%4.1%2026-09-01 17:30
DraftKings🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.92%EV -5.41%E -5.35%K -540.54%G +0.000%15.60I 6.41%NM 6.08%EV -1.07%E -0.068%K -0.073%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.53%E -3.43%K -117.74%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-28 10:40
Coral🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.53%E -3.43%K -117.74%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-28 10:40
BoyleSports🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.53%E -3.43%K -117.74%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-28 15:25
Unibet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 16:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 16:30
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 13:25
Casumo🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 16:30
Grosvenor🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 16:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 16:30
Bally Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 16:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 16:30
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 16:30
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-28 16:25
BetRivers🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 16:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 13:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 16:30
Bovada🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 17:10
betfred_uk🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 06:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 16:30
NordicBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 09:35
Betsson🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 09:35
betano_uk🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 07:54
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 13:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.41%E -5.35%K -540.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 17:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.41%E -5.35%K -540.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 10:40
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.41%E -5.35%K -540.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-28 10:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.41%E -5.35%K -540.54%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -4.87%E -0.325%K -0.348%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 11:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -5.41%E -5.35%K -540.54%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -9.63%E -0.676%K -0.727%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 13:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.41%E -5.35%K -540.54%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -11.21%E -0.801%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 09:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -5.41%E -5.35%K -540.54%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -11.21%E -0.801%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 17:08
BetOnline.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -3.53%E -3.43%K -117.74%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV -14.38%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.91%EV -3.53%E -3.43%K -117.74%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.09%EV -14.38%E -1.07%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 17:40
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -17.55%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -17.55%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-01 15:35
TAB🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.41%E -5.35%K -540.54%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -17.55%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-01 13:30
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -5.41%E -5.35%K -540.54%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -17.55%E -1.35%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-31 14:18
BetAnything🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.36%EV -3.53%E -3.43%K -117.74%G +0.000%12.45I 8.03%NM 7.64%EV -21.04%E -1.69%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-01 05:05
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.47%E -4.38%K -223.44%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -23.90%E -1.99%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-28 10:40
Fanatics🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -3.53%E -3.43%K -117.74%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -27.07%E -2.35%K -2.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 17:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 96.01%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.99%0.2%2026-09-01 17:35
Matchbook◎1.04I 96.15%NM 96.01%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.99%0.2%2026-09-01 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 95.85%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.15%0.3%2026-09-01 17:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 95.85%24.00I 4.17%NM 4.15%0.3%2026-09-01 17:30
Novig◎1.04I 96.15%NM 95.62%22.73I 4.40%NM 4.38%0.6%2026-09-01 17:35
ProphetX◎1.04I 96.15%NM 95.28%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72%0.9%2026-09-01 17:25
Smarkets◎1.03I 97.09%NM 95.88%23.98I 4.17%NM 4.12%1.3%2026-09-01 17:35