Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Karen Khachanov

Inizio: 2026-09-03 15:08 UTC

Finale: Felix Auger-Aliassime 1–3 Karen Khachanov

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Casa)

Previsione 71.38%1.40quota equa
EV -2.92%
Vantaggio -2.15%
Kelly -8.12%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.36

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
69.98%71.39%71.27%72.92%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.301.331.331.3676.92%75.39%75.19%73.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Karen Khachanov (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.62%3.49quota equa
EV +0.454%
Vantaggio +0.129%
Kelly +0.181%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.51

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.08%28.61%28.73%30.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.323.343.5132.26%30.09%29.94%28.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Casa): 71.38%; Karen Khachanov (Trasferta): 28.62%. Per Karen Khachanov (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.49. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.51, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.454%.

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 72.22%EV -3.64%E -2.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.78%EV +0.454%E +0.129%K +0.181%G +0.001%2.6%2026-09-03 14:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV +0.168%E +0.048%K +0.067%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-03 12:44
Sky Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -7.21%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV +0.168%E +0.048%K +0.067%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 14:44
SportsBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.59%EV -6.49%E -4.96%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.41%EV -0.691%E -0.199%K -0.280%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-03 14:44
Coolbet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 71.88%EV -3.64%E -2.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -1.26%E -0.366%K -0.516%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-03 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -4.35%E -3.25%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -1.26%E -0.366%K -0.516%G +0.000%3.6%2026-09-03 12:00
FanDuel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -1.26%E -0.366%K -0.516%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.69%E -0.792%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 12:00
Bovada🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.69%E -0.792%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 11:18
BetAnything🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.69%E -0.792%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-03 11:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.49%E -4.96%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -2.69%E -0.792%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 13:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.21%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.69%E -0.792%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 10:49
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -7.21%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -2.69%E -0.792%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 14:25
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -2.98%E -0.879%K -1.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-03 14:50
ReBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.61%EV -4.35%E -3.25%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.39%EV -3.27%E -0.967%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-03 13:05
GTbets🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -3.84%E -1.14%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 13:05
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 12:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 13:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 13:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 13:15
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 13:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 13:15
Grosvenor🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 13:15
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 13:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 13:15
Casumo🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 13:15
Unibet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 13:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 13:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 13:15
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 13:15
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-03 13:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -6.49%E -4.96%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -4.13%E -1.23%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-03 14:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -2.92%E -2.15%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -4.41%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-03 11:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.06%EV -2.92%E -2.15%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.94%EV -4.41%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-03 11:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.67%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.33%EV -4.41%E -1.32%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-03 14:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.40%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.60%EV -4.98%E -1.50%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 10:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 10:45
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 09:55
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 13:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 09:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 09:55
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-03 09:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-03 13:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.49%E -4.96%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -5.56%E -1.68%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 14:55
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -2.92%E -2.15%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 08:50
Fanatics🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 14:50
betfred_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 03:25
LeoVegas🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 10:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 12:55
theScore Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 09:49
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 09:49
BoyleSports🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 09:00
BetMGM🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 11:05
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-03 12:50
Fliff🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.49%E -4.96%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-03 14:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -7.21%E -5.54%K -24.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -6.99%E -2.15%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-03 13:15
NordicBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 10:45
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.05%EV -5.78%E -4.38%K -18.05%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -7.27%E -2.24%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 10:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.64%E -2.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 11:05
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.64%E -2.69%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-03 11:05
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -4.35%E -3.25%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-03 11:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 11:05
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.42%E -2.63%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 11:05
Caesars🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.06%E -3.81%K -15.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -11.28%E -3.64%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-01 13:53
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.29%0.4%2026-09-03 14:55
Novig◎1.35I 74.07%NM 73.63%3.77I 26.53%NM 26.37%0.6%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-03 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-03 14:55
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-03 14:55
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-09-03 14:55
ProphetX◎1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-09-03 14:55
Kalshi◎1.35I 74.07%NM 72.56%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.44%2.1%2026-09-03 14:31