Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alexander Zverev v Lorenzo Sonego

Inizio: 2026-09-02 00:57 UTC

Finale: Alexander Zverev 3–2 Lorenzo Sonego

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

65 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alexander Zverev (Casa)

Previsione 91.12%1.10quota equa
EV -3.42%
Vantaggio -3.22%
Kelly -56.96%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.06

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
88.30%91.07%91.36%92.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.021.051.051.0698.04%95.64%95.24%94.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Lorenzo Sonego (Trasferta)

Previsione 8.88%11.26quota equa
EV +20.48%
Vantaggio +1.51%
Kelly +1.63%
Crescita +0.334%

ipotizzando la quota massima 13.56

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
7.12%8.93%8.64%11.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
8.0010.5910.0013.5612.50%9.44%10.00%7.37%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Alexander Zverev (Casa): 91.12%; Lorenzo Sonego (Trasferta): 8.88%. Per Lorenzo Sonego (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 11.26. 15 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 13.56, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +20.48%.

Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.88%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%13.56I 7.37%NM 7.12%EV +20.48%E +1.51%K +1.63%G +0.334%3.5%2026-09-02 00:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 92.25%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.75%EV +11.06%E +0.885%K +0.962%G +0.106%3.2%2026-09-02 00:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +11.06%E +0.885%K +0.962%G +0.106%4.2%2026-09-02 00:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.32%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.68%EV +11.06%E +0.885%K +0.962%G +0.106%4.2%2026-09-02 00:36
DraftKings🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.21%EV -6.15%E -5.97%K -205.04%G +0.000%12.20I 8.20%NM 7.79%EV +8.39%E +0.688%K +0.749%G +0.063%5.3%2026-09-02 00:10
Sky Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.95%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.05%EV +6.62%E +0.551%K +0.601%G +0.040%3.6%2026-09-01 23:00
Bovada🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +6.62%E +0.551%K +0.601%G +0.040%4.5%2026-09-02 00:14
BetAnything🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +6.62%E +0.551%K +0.601%G +0.040%4.5%2026-09-02 00:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -7.06%E -6.92%K -353.12%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV +6.62%E +0.551%K +0.601%G +0.040%6.4%2026-09-01 20:05
ReBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.80%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.20%EV +4.39%E +0.374%K +0.409%G +0.018%3.7%2026-09-02 00:36
Betclic (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.87%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.13%EV +4.39%E +0.374%K +0.409%G +0.018%4.7%2026-09-02 00:14
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.77%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%11.60I 8.62%NM 8.23%EV +3.06%E +0.264%K +0.289%G +0.009%4.8%2026-09-01 23:05
Coolbet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 91.56%EV -3.42%E -3.22%K -56.96%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.44%EV +2.17%E +0.189%K +0.207%G +0.004%3.0%2026-09-01 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +2.17%E +0.189%K +0.207%G +0.004%4.8%2026-09-02 00:15
NetBet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.85%EV -7.06%E -6.92%K -353.12%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.15%EV +2.17%E +0.189%K +0.207%G +0.004%6.7%2026-09-02 00:15
GTbets🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.46%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.54%EV -0.048%E -0.004%K -0.005%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-02 00:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -2.27%E -0.206%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 00:21
PlayUp🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -2.27%E -0.206%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 00:10
1xBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -2.27%E -0.206%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 00:55
Coral🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -2.27%E -0.206%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 00:20
Paddy Power🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -2.27%E -0.206%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 23:00
betano_uk🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -2.27%E -0.206%K -0.227%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-02 00:15
Betsson🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -2.27%E -0.206%K -0.227%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -2.27%E -0.206%K -0.227%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:16
NordicBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -2.27%E -0.206%K -0.227%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:15
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -2.27%E -0.206%K -0.227%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 23:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -2.27%E -0.206%K -0.227%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:20
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -2.27%E -0.206%K -0.227%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -2.27%E -0.206%K -0.227%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.29%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%10.90I 9.17%NM 8.71%EV -3.16%E -0.290%K -0.319%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 00:20
Fliff🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.14%EV -6.15%E -5.97%K -205.04%G +0.000%10.60I 9.43%NM 8.86%EV -5.82%E -0.549%K -0.607%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-02 00:40
BoyleSports🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.42%E -3.22%K -56.96%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-01 05:20
Unibet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:30
TABtouch🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:30
Casumo🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:30
Grosvenor🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:30
Betway🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:30
Bally Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:30
theScore Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:30
betPARX🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:30
BetRivers🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-02 00:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 00:10
LeoVegas🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 00:55
BetMGM🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 00:20
betfred_uk🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-01 23:20
BetUS🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.24%E -5.04%K -131.00%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-02 00:15
TAB🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -6.15%E -5.97%K -205.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 00:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -7.06%E -6.92%K -353.12%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -11.15%E -1.12%K -1.24%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-02 00:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -12.93%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-01 17:10
Fanatics🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV -12.93%E -1.32%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-02 00:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV -17.82%E -1.93%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-02 00:55
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.42%E -3.22%K -56.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -20.04%E -2.23%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 06:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.42%E -3.22%K -56.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -20.04%E -2.23%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 06:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.42%E -3.22%K -56.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -20.04%E -2.23%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 06:10
William Hill🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.42%E -3.22%K -56.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -20.04%E -2.23%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-01 06:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.33%E -4.12%K -86.58%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -20.04%E -2.23%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-02 00:45
Caesars🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -3.42%E -3.22%K -56.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -28.92%E -3.62%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 22:22
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.90%14.00I 7.14%NM 7.10%0.6%2026-09-02 00:51
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-09-02 00:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-09-02 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-09-02 00:51
Matchbook◎1.06I 94.34%NM 93.60%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.40%0.8%2026-09-02 00:40
Novig◎1.07I 93.46%NM 92.57%13.33I 7.50%NM 7.43%1.0%2026-09-02 00:55
Kalshi◎1.06I 94.34%NM 92.18%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.82%2.3%2026-09-02 00:50
Smarkets◎1.04I 96.15%NM 93.51%14.99I 6.67%NM 6.49%2.8%2026-09-02 00:55