Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alexander Blockx v Flavio Cobolli

Inizio: 2026-09-05 15:00 UTC

Finale: Alexander Blockx 3–1 Flavio Cobolli

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Alexander Blockx (Casa)

Previsione 48.94%2.04quota equa
EV +0.335%
Vantaggio +0.163%
Kelly +0.319%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.75%49.01%48.93%51.32%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.841.921.932.0554.35%52.06%51.81%48.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Flavio Cobolli (Trasferta)

Previsione 51.06%1.96quota equa
EV +0.070%
Vantaggio +0.036%
Kelly +0.073%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.96

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.68%50.99%51.07%53.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.741.861.871.9657.47%53.79%53.48%51.02%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Alexander Blockx (Casa): 48.94%; Flavio Cobolli (Trasferta): 51.06%. Per Alexander Blockx (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.04. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 2.05, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.335%.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +0.335%E +0.163%K +0.319%G +0.001%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-04 03:24
GTbets🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -2.11%E -1.06%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -7.59%E -4.19%K -9.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-04 03:00
Coolbet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -3.09%E -1.56%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -2.99%E -1.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 13:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.75%EV -3.58%E -1.82%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 09:09
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.61%EV -4.07%E -2.08%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.39%EV -1.46%E -0.757%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-04 14:15
FanDuel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.07%E -2.08%K -4.24%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-04 09:14
1xBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.99%E -1.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-04 13:15
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 09:06
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:35
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 09:01
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 10:35
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.56%E -2.34%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 09:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.05%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.06%E -3.29%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 09:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.05%E -2.60%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -6.06%E -3.29%K -7.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 13:14
BetRivers🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
Bally Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
betPARX🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 09:10
NordicBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.06%E -3.29%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 09:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.06%E -3.29%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 10:15
Betsson🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.06%E -3.29%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 09:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -6.06%E -3.29%K -7.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 09:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -6.03%E -3.14%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-04 13:15
DraftKings🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -6.03%E -3.14%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.04%E -2.71%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 09:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.03%E -3.14%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.07%EV -6.03%E -3.14%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 09:24
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.48%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 09:10
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.48%E -1.30%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 09:15
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 14:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-04 13:10
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 09:10
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 09:14
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 09:15
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 09:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.01%E -3.69%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.99%E -1.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 09:09
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.01%E -3.69%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.99%E -1.58%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 09:10
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.01%E -3.69%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.01%E -3.69%K -7.79%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.59%E -4.19%K -9.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 12:05
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.99%E -4.25%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 09:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -7.99%E -4.25%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -6.57%E -3.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 13:10
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.48%E -4.53%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 06:56
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.48%E -4.53%K -9.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.52%E -2.42%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 13:17
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -8.96%E -4.82%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV +0.070%E +0.036%K +0.073%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 11:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -8.96%E -4.82%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV +0.070%E +0.036%K +0.073%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-04 11:25
ReBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.76%EV -8.96%E -4.82%K -10.42%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.24%EV -9.63%E -5.44%K -12.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 09:15
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -9.45%E -5.11%K -11.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -0.441%E -0.226%K -0.464%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-04 11:05
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.45%E -5.11%K -11.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 09:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.45%E -5.11%K -11.12%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.55%E -3.00%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-04 09:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.60%EV -9.94%E -5.40%K -11.84%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.40%EV -11.16%E -6.42%K -15.08%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-04 09:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (8)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Kalshi◎2.27I 44.05%NM 44.09%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.91%-0.1%2026-09-04 03:05
ProphetX◎2.05I 48.78%NM 48.62%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.38%0.3%2026-09-04 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-09-04 14:25
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-09-04 14:31
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.24%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.76%1.5%2026-09-04 14:31
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%2.1%2026-09-04 14:25